ForgeRock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 20.04
| FORGDelisted Stock | USD 20.39 0.03 0.15% |
ForgeRock |
ForgeRock Target Price Odds to finish below 20.04
The tendency of ForgeRock Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 20.04 or more in 90 days |
| 20.39 | 90 days | 20.04 | about 57.77 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of ForgeRock to drop to $ 20.04 or more in 90 days from now is about 57.77 (This ForgeRock probability density function shows the probability of ForgeRock Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of ForgeRock price to stay between $ 20.04 and its current price of $20.39 at the end of the 90-day period is about 31.44 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days ForgeRock has a beta of -0.22. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding ForgeRock are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, ForgeRock is likely to outperform the market. Additionally ForgeRock has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. ForgeRock Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for ForgeRock
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as ForgeRock. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.ForgeRock Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. ForgeRock is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the ForgeRock's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold ForgeRock, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of ForgeRock within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.01 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.22 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.33 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.06 |
ForgeRock Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of ForgeRock for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for ForgeRock can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| ForgeRock is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| ForgeRock has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 217.51 M. Net Loss for the year was (66.27 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 177.97 M. | |
| ForgeRock currently holds about 347.21 M in cash with (45.01 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 4.08. | |
| Over 85.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors |
ForgeRock Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of ForgeRock Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential ForgeRock's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. ForgeRock's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 84.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 336.1 M |
ForgeRock Technical Analysis
ForgeRock's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. ForgeRock Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of ForgeRock. In general, you should focus on analyzing ForgeRock Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
ForgeRock Predictive Forecast Models
ForgeRock's time-series forecasting models is one of many ForgeRock's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary ForgeRock's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about ForgeRock
Checking the ongoing alerts about ForgeRock for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for ForgeRock help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| ForgeRock is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| ForgeRock has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 217.51 M. Net Loss for the year was (66.27 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 177.97 M. | |
| ForgeRock currently holds about 347.21 M in cash with (45.01 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 4.08. | |
| Over 85.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors |
Check out Investing Opportunities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in metropolitan statistical area. You can also try the Insider Screener module to find insiders across different sectors to evaluate their impact on performance.
Other Consideration for investing in ForgeRock Stock
If you are still planning to invest in ForgeRock check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the ForgeRock's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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