Fidelity Nasdaq Posite Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 246.98

FNCMX Fund  USD 248.26  0.98  0.40%   
Fidelity Nasdaq's future price is the expected price of Fidelity Nasdaq instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Fidelity Nasdaq Posite performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Fidelity Nasdaq Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Fidelity Nasdaq Correlation, Fidelity Nasdaq Hype Analysis, Fidelity Nasdaq Volatility, Fidelity Nasdaq History as well as Fidelity Nasdaq Performance.
  
Please specify Fidelity Nasdaq's target price for which you would like Fidelity Nasdaq odds to be computed.

Fidelity Nasdaq Target Price Odds to finish over 246.98

The tendency of Fidelity Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above $ 246.98  in 90 days
 248.26 90 days 246.98 
about 5.58
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Fidelity Nasdaq to stay above $ 246.98  in 90 days from now is about 5.58 (This Fidelity Nasdaq Posite probability density function shows the probability of Fidelity Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Fidelity Nasdaq Posite price to stay between $ 246.98  and its current price of $248.26 at the end of the 90-day period is about 1.49 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Fidelity Nasdaq has a beta of 0.96. This usually indicates Fidelity Nasdaq Posite market returns are sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Fidelity Nasdaq is expected to follow. Additionally Fidelity Nasdaq Posite has an alpha of 0.0426, implying that it can generate a 0.0426 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Fidelity Nasdaq Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Fidelity Nasdaq

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Fidelity Nasdaq Posite. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
247.24248.26249.28
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
218.69219.71273.09
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
248.12249.14250.16
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
241.28244.22247.16
Details

Fidelity Nasdaq Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Fidelity Nasdaq is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Fidelity Nasdaq's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Fidelity Nasdaq Posite, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Fidelity Nasdaq within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.04
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.96
σ
Overall volatility
8.60
Ir
Information ratio 0.04

Fidelity Nasdaq Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Fidelity Nasdaq for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Fidelity Nasdaq Posite can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund retains 99.73% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities

Fidelity Nasdaq Technical Analysis

Fidelity Nasdaq's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Fidelity Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Fidelity Nasdaq Posite. In general, you should focus on analyzing Fidelity Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Fidelity Nasdaq Predictive Forecast Models

Fidelity Nasdaq's time-series forecasting models is one of many Fidelity Nasdaq's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Fidelity Nasdaq's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Fidelity Nasdaq Posite

Checking the ongoing alerts about Fidelity Nasdaq for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Fidelity Nasdaq Posite help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund retains 99.73% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities

Other Information on Investing in Fidelity Mutual Fund

Fidelity Nasdaq financial ratios help investors to determine whether Fidelity Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Fidelity with respect to the benefits of owning Fidelity Nasdaq security.
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