Forum Merger IV Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 10.04
| FMIVUDelisted Stock | USD 10.26 0.00 0.00% |
Forum |
Forum Merger Target Price Odds to finish below 10.04
The tendency of Forum Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 10.04 or more in 90 days |
| 10.26 | 90 days | 10.04 | about 8.14 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Forum Merger to drop to $ 10.04 or more in 90 days from now is about 8.14 (This Forum Merger IV probability density function shows the probability of Forum Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Forum Merger IV price to stay between $ 10.04 and its current price of $10.26 at the end of the 90-day period is about 21.2 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Forum Merger IV has a beta of -0.0107. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Forum Merger are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Forum Merger IV is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Forum Merger IV has an alpha of 0.0143, implying that it can generate a 0.0143 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Forum Merger Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Forum Merger
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Forum Merger IV. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Forum Merger's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Forum Merger Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Forum Merger is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Forum Merger's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Forum Merger IV, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Forum Merger within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.01 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.01 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.26 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.0055 |
Forum Merger Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Forum Merger for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Forum Merger IV can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Forum Merger IV is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| Forum Merger IV has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| Forum Merger IV has accumulated 34 in total debt. Forum Merger IV has a current ratio of 0.51, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Note, when we think about Forum Merger's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity. | |
| Forum Merger IV has accumulated about 625.06 K in cash with (2.53 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.01. |
Forum Merger Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Forum Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Forum Merger's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Forum Merger's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 34.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 53.9 K |
Forum Merger Technical Analysis
Forum Merger's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Forum Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Forum Merger IV. In general, you should focus on analyzing Forum Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Forum Merger Predictive Forecast Models
Forum Merger's time-series forecasting models is one of many Forum Merger's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Forum Merger's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Forum Merger IV
Checking the ongoing alerts about Forum Merger for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Forum Merger IV help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Forum Merger IV is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| Forum Merger IV has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| Forum Merger IV has accumulated 34 in total debt. Forum Merger IV has a current ratio of 0.51, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Note, when we think about Forum Merger's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity. | |
| Forum Merger IV has accumulated about 625.06 K in cash with (2.53 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.01. |
Check out Investing Opportunities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in real. You can also try the Transaction History module to view history of all your transactions and understand their impact on performance.
Other Consideration for investing in Forum Stock
If you are still planning to invest in Forum Merger IV check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Forum Merger's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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