Common Stock Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 34.22
| FMIUX Fund | USD 37.20 0.38 1.01% |
Common |
Common Stock Target Price Odds to finish below 34.22
The tendency of Common Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 34.22 or more in 90 days |
| 37.20 | 90 days | 34.22 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Common Stock to drop to $ 34.22 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Common Stock Fund probability density function shows the probability of Common Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Common Stock price to stay between $ 34.22 and its current price of $37.2 at the end of the 90-day period is about 5.84 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Common Stock has a beta of 0.18. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Common Stock average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Common Stock Fund will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Common Stock Fund has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Common Stock Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Common Stock
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Common Stock. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Common Stock's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Common Stock Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Common Stock is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Common Stock's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Common Stock Fund, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Common Stock within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.02 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.18 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.11 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.03 |
Common Stock Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Common Stock for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Common Stock can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Common Stock generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The fund retains 97.61% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities |
Common Stock Technical Analysis
Common Stock's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Common Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Common Stock Fund. In general, you should focus on analyzing Common Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Common Stock Predictive Forecast Models
Common Stock's time-series forecasting models is one of many Common Stock's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Common Stock's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Common Stock
Checking the ongoing alerts about Common Stock for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Common Stock help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Common Stock generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The fund retains 97.61% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities |
Other Information on Investing in Common Mutual Fund
Common Stock financial ratios help investors to determine whether Common Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Common with respect to the benefits of owning Common Stock security.
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