Common Stock Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 41.26

FMIMX Fund  USD 40.33  0.06  0.15%   
Common Stock's future price is the expected price of Common Stock instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Common Stock Fund performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Common Stock Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Common Stock Correlation, Common Stock Hype Analysis, Common Stock Volatility, Common Stock History as well as Common Stock Performance.
  
Please specify Common Stock's target price for which you would like Common Stock odds to be computed.

Common Stock Target Price Odds to finish over 41.26

The tendency of Common Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 41.26  or more in 90 days
 40.33 90 days 41.26 
about 1.8
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Common Stock to move over $ 41.26  or more in 90 days from now is about 1.8 (This Common Stock Fund probability density function shows the probability of Common Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Common Stock price to stay between its current price of $ 40.33  and $ 41.26  at the end of the 90-day period is about 6.3 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Common Stock has a beta of 0.074. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Common Stock average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Common Stock Fund will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Common Stock Fund has an alpha of 0.1758, implying that it can generate a 0.18 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Common Stock Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Common Stock

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Common Stock. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
39.3440.3341.32
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
36.3043.5344.52
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
39.0840.0841.07
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
37.2839.3141.33
Details

Common Stock Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Common Stock is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Common Stock's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Common Stock Fund, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Common Stock within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.18
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.07
σ
Overall volatility
1.33
Ir
Information ratio 0.07

Common Stock Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Common Stock for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Common Stock can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund retains 95.99% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities

Common Stock Technical Analysis

Common Stock's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Common Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Common Stock Fund. In general, you should focus on analyzing Common Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Common Stock Predictive Forecast Models

Common Stock's time-series forecasting models is one of many Common Stock's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Common Stock's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Common Stock

Checking the ongoing alerts about Common Stock for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Common Stock help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund retains 95.99% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities

Other Information on Investing in Common Mutual Fund

Common Stock financial ratios help investors to determine whether Common Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Common with respect to the benefits of owning Common Stock security.
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