Farmers Merchants Bancorp Stock Probability of Future OTC Stock Price Finishing Over 1050.0

FMCB Stock  USD 1,034  30.49  2.86%   
Farmers Merchants' future price is the expected price of Farmers Merchants instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Farmers Merchants Bancorp performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Farmers Merchants Backtesting, Farmers Merchants Valuation, Farmers Merchants Correlation, Farmers Merchants Hype Analysis, Farmers Merchants Volatility, Farmers Merchants History as well as Farmers Merchants Performance.
  
Please specify Farmers Merchants' target price for which you would like Farmers Merchants odds to be computed.

Farmers Merchants Target Price Odds to finish over 1050.0

The tendency of Farmers OTC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 1,050  or more in 90 days
 1,034 90 days 1,050 
about 6.54
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Farmers Merchants to move over $ 1,050  or more in 90 days from now is about 6.54 (This Farmers Merchants Bancorp probability density function shows the probability of Farmers OTC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Farmers Merchants Bancorp price to stay between its current price of $ 1,034  and $ 1,050  at the end of the 90-day period is about 6.3 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Farmers Merchants Bancorp has a beta of -0.26. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Farmers Merchants are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Farmers Merchants Bancorp is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Farmers Merchants Bancorp has an alpha of 0.1533, implying that it can generate a 0.15 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Farmers Merchants Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Farmers Merchants

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Farmers Merchants Bancorp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Farmers Merchants' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
1,0321,0341,036
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
862.15863.951,137
Details

Farmers Merchants Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Farmers Merchants is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Farmers Merchants' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Farmers Merchants Bancorp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Farmers Merchants within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.15
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.26
σ
Overall volatility
42.43
Ir
Information ratio 0.02

Farmers Merchants Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Farmers Merchants for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Farmers Merchants Bancorp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 30.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Farmers Merchants Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Farmers OTC Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Farmers Merchants' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Farmers Merchants' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding789.6 K
Cash And Short Term Investments715.5 M

Farmers Merchants Technical Analysis

Farmers Merchants' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Farmers OTC Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Farmers Merchants Bancorp. In general, you should focus on analyzing Farmers OTC Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Farmers Merchants Predictive Forecast Models

Farmers Merchants' time-series forecasting models is one of many Farmers Merchants' otc stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Farmers Merchants' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the otc stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Farmers Merchants Bancorp

Checking the ongoing alerts about Farmers Merchants for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Farmers Merchants Bancorp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 30.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Farmers OTC Stock

When determining whether Farmers Merchants Bancorp offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Farmers Merchants' financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Farmers Merchants Bancorp Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Farmers Merchants Bancorp Stock:
Check out Farmers Merchants Backtesting, Farmers Merchants Valuation, Farmers Merchants Correlation, Farmers Merchants Hype Analysis, Farmers Merchants Volatility, Farmers Merchants History as well as Farmers Merchants Performance.
Note that the Farmers Merchants Bancorp information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Farmers Merchants' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Cryptocurrency Center module to build and monitor diversified portfolio of extremely risky digital assets and cryptocurrency.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Farmers Merchants' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Farmers Merchants is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Farmers Merchants' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.