Fica Empreendimentos (Brazil) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 11.77
| FIEI3 Stock | 11.00 0.00 0.00% |
Fica |
Fica Empreendimentos Target Price Odds to finish below 11.77
The tendency of Fica Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under 11.77 after 90 days |
| 11.00 | 90 days | 11.77 | about 92.88 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Fica Empreendimentos to stay under 11.77 after 90 days from now is about 92.88 (This Fica Empreendimentos Imobiliarios probability density function shows the probability of Fica Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Fica Empreendimentos price to stay between its current price of 11.00 and 11.77 at the end of the 90-day period is about 13.44 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Fica Empreendimentos Imobiliarios has a beta of -0.83. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Fica Empreendimentos are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Fica Empreendimentos Imobiliarios is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Fica Empreendimentos Imobiliarios has an alpha of 0.474, implying that it can generate a 0.47 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Fica Empreendimentos Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Fica Empreendimentos
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Fica Empreendimentos. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Fica Empreendimentos. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Fica Empreendimentos' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Fica Empreendimentos' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Fica Empreendimentos.Fica Empreendimentos Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Fica Empreendimentos is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Fica Empreendimentos' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Fica Empreendimentos Imobiliarios, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Fica Empreendimentos within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.47 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.83 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.19 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.07 |
Fica Empreendimentos Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Fica Empreendimentos for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Fica Empreendimentos can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Fica Empreendimentos appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues |
Fica Empreendimentos Technical Analysis
Fica Empreendimentos' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Fica Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Fica Empreendimentos Imobiliarios. In general, you should focus on analyzing Fica Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Fica Empreendimentos Predictive Forecast Models
Fica Empreendimentos' time-series forecasting models is one of many Fica Empreendimentos' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Fica Empreendimentos' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Fica Empreendimentos
Checking the ongoing alerts about Fica Empreendimentos for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Fica Empreendimentos help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Fica Empreendimentos appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues |
Additional Tools for Fica Stock Analysis
When running Fica Empreendimentos' price analysis, check to measure Fica Empreendimentos' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Fica Empreendimentos is operating at the current time. Most of Fica Empreendimentos' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Fica Empreendimentos' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Fica Empreendimentos' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Fica Empreendimentos to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.