Fidelity Necticut Municipal Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 11.23
| FICNX Fund | USD 11.01 0.02 0.18% |
Fidelity |
Fidelity Necticut Target Price Odds to finish over 11.23
The tendency of Fidelity Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 11.23 or more in 90 days |
| 11.01 | 90 days | 11.23 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Fidelity Necticut to move over $ 11.23 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Fidelity Necticut Municipal probability density function shows the probability of Fidelity Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Fidelity Necticut price to stay between its current price of $ 11.01 and $ 11.23 at the end of the 90-day period is about 21.0 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Fidelity Necticut Municipal has a beta of -0.0832. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Fidelity Necticut are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Fidelity Necticut Municipal is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Fidelity Necticut Municipal has an alpha of 0.0123, implying that it can generate a 0.0123 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Fidelity Necticut Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Fidelity Necticut
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Fidelity Necticut. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Fidelity Necticut Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Fidelity Necticut is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Fidelity Necticut's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Fidelity Necticut Municipal, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Fidelity Necticut within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.01 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.08 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.06 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.5 |
Fidelity Necticut Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Fidelity Necticut for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Fidelity Necticut can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| The fund generated three year return of 0.0% | |
| Fidelity Necticut retains about 98.19% of its assets under management (AUM) in fixed income securities |
Fidelity Necticut Technical Analysis
Fidelity Necticut's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Fidelity Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Fidelity Necticut Municipal. In general, you should focus on analyzing Fidelity Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Fidelity Necticut Predictive Forecast Models
Fidelity Necticut's time-series forecasting models is one of many Fidelity Necticut's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Fidelity Necticut's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Fidelity Necticut
Checking the ongoing alerts about Fidelity Necticut for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Fidelity Necticut help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| The fund generated three year return of 0.0% | |
| Fidelity Necticut retains about 98.19% of its assets under management (AUM) in fixed income securities |
Other Information on Investing in Fidelity Mutual Fund
Fidelity Necticut financial ratios help investors to determine whether Fidelity Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Fidelity with respect to the benefits of owning Fidelity Necticut security.
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