First Investors Hedged Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 9.44

FHELXDelisted Fund  USD 9.44  0.00  0.00%   
First Investors' future price is the expected price of First Investors instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of First Investors Hedged performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Investing Opportunities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any mutual fund could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in bureau of economic analysis.
  
Please specify First Investors' target price for which you would like First Investors odds to be computed.

First Investors Target Price Odds to finish over 9.44

The tendency of First Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 9.44 90 days 9.44 
about 61.6
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of First Investors to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 61.6 (This First Investors Hedged probability density function shows the probability of First Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon First Investors Hedged has a beta of -0.0319. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding First Investors are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, First Investors Hedged is likely to outperform the market. Additionally First Investors Hedged has an alpha of 0.0017, implying that it can generate a 0.001701 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   First Investors Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for First Investors

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as First Investors Hedged. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
9.449.449.44
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
8.748.7410.38
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
9.459.459.45
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
9.449.449.44
Details

First Investors Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. First Investors is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the First Investors' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold First Investors Hedged, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of First Investors within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.03
σ
Overall volatility
0.03
Ir
Information ratio -0.39

First Investors Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of First Investors for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for First Investors Hedged can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
First Investors is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
First Investors has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
The fund retains 97.6% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities

First Investors Technical Analysis

First Investors' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. First Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of First Investors Hedged. In general, you should focus on analyzing First Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

First Investors Predictive Forecast Models

First Investors' time-series forecasting models is one of many First Investors' mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary First Investors' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about First Investors Hedged

Checking the ongoing alerts about First Investors for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for First Investors Hedged help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
First Investors is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
First Investors has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
The fund retains 97.6% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities
Check out Investing Opportunities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any mutual fund could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in bureau of economic analysis.
You can also try the Portfolio Anywhere module to track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device.

Other Consideration for investing in First Mutual Fund

If you are still planning to invest in First Investors Hedged check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the First Investors' history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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