First Farmers Financial Stock Probability of Future OTC Stock Price Finishing Over 68.08
| FFMR Stock | USD 66.99 0.42 0.63% |
First |
First Farmers Target Price Odds to finish over 68.08
The tendency of First OTC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 68.08 or more in 90 days |
| 66.99 | 90 days | 68.08 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of First Farmers to move over $ 68.08 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This First Farmers Financial probability density function shows the probability of First OTC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of First Farmers Financial price to stay between its current price of $ 66.99 and $ 68.08 at the end of the 90-day period is nearly 4.15 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days First Farmers has a beta of 0.0095. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, First Farmers average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding First Farmers Financial will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally First Farmers Financial has an alpha of 0.0234, implying that it can generate a 0.0234 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). First Farmers Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for First Farmers
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as First Farmers Financial. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.First Farmers Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. First Farmers is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the First Farmers' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold First Farmers Financial, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of First Farmers within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.02 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.01 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.88 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.18 |
First Farmers Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of First OTC Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential First Farmers' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. First Farmers' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 7 M |
First Farmers Technical Analysis
First Farmers' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. First OTC Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of First Farmers Financial. In general, you should focus on analyzing First OTC Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
First Farmers Predictive Forecast Models
First Farmers' time-series forecasting models is one of many First Farmers' otc stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary First Farmers' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the otc stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards First Farmers in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, First Farmers' short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from First Farmers options trading.
Additional Tools for First OTC Stock Analysis
When running First Farmers' price analysis, check to measure First Farmers' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy First Farmers is operating at the current time. Most of First Farmers' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of First Farmers' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move First Farmers' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of First Farmers to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.