Flaherty Crumrine Preferred Fund Probability of Future Fund Price Finishing Under 15.72

FFC Fund  USD 15.93  0.03  0.19%   
Flaherty Crumrine's future price is the expected price of Flaherty Crumrine instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Flaherty Crumrine Preferred performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Flaherty Crumrine Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Flaherty Crumrine Correlation, Flaherty Crumrine Hype Analysis, Flaherty Crumrine Volatility, Flaherty Crumrine History as well as Flaherty Crumrine Performance.
  
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Flaherty Crumrine Target Price Odds to finish below 15.72

The tendency of Flaherty Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 15.72  or more in 90 days
 15.93 90 days 15.72 
about 11.66
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Flaherty Crumrine to drop to $ 15.72  or more in 90 days from now is about 11.66 (This Flaherty Crumrine Preferred probability density function shows the probability of Flaherty Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Flaherty Crumrine price to stay between $ 15.72  and its current price of $15.93 at the end of the 90-day period is about 27.68 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Flaherty Crumrine has a beta of 0.0893. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Flaherty Crumrine average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Flaherty Crumrine Preferred will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Flaherty Crumrine Preferred has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Flaherty Crumrine Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Flaherty Crumrine

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Flaherty Crumrine. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
15.3215.9316.54
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
15.3415.9516.56
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
15.5716.1916.80
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
15.4315.8016.16
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Flaherty Crumrine. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Flaherty Crumrine's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Flaherty Crumrine's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Flaherty Crumrine.

Flaherty Crumrine Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Flaherty Crumrine is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Flaherty Crumrine's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Flaherty Crumrine Preferred, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Flaherty Crumrine within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.03
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.09
σ
Overall volatility
0.23
Ir
Information ratio -0.21

Flaherty Crumrine Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Flaherty Crumrine for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Flaherty Crumrine can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Flaherty Crumrine generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Latest headline from news.google.com: Technical Data - Stock Traders Daily

Flaherty Crumrine Technical Analysis

Flaherty Crumrine's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Flaherty Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Flaherty Crumrine Preferred. In general, you should focus on analyzing Flaherty Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Flaherty Crumrine Predictive Forecast Models

Flaherty Crumrine's time-series forecasting models is one of many Flaherty Crumrine's fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Flaherty Crumrine's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Flaherty Crumrine

Checking the ongoing alerts about Flaherty Crumrine for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Flaherty Crumrine help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Flaherty Crumrine generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Latest headline from news.google.com: Technical Data - Stock Traders Daily

Other Information on Investing in Flaherty Fund

Flaherty Crumrine financial ratios help investors to determine whether Flaherty Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Flaherty with respect to the benefits of owning Flaherty Crumrine security.
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