Four Corners Property Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 28.5
| FCPT Stock | USD 27.45 0.33 1.19% |
Four |
Four Corners Target Price Odds to finish below 28.5
The tendency of Four Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under $ 28.50 after 90 days |
| 27.45 | 90 days | 28.50 | about 44.81 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Four Corners to stay under $ 28.50 after 90 days from now is about 44.81 (This Four Corners Property probability density function shows the probability of Four Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Four Corners Property price to stay between its current price of $ 27.45 and $ 28.50 at the end of the 90-day period is about 38.79 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Four Corners has a beta of 0.22. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Four Corners average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Four Corners Property will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Four Corners Property has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Four Corners Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Four Corners
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Four Corners Property. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Four Corners Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Four Corners is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Four Corners' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Four Corners Property, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Four Corners within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.1 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.22 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.75 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.11 |
Four Corners Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Four Corners for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Four Corners Property can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Four Corners generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Over 99.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Four Corners Property Trust Inc Expands Portfolio with 12 Million Acquisition |
Four Corners Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Four Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Four Corners' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Four Corners' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 88.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 16.3 M |
Four Corners Technical Analysis
Four Corners' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Four Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Four Corners Property. In general, you should focus on analyzing Four Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Four Corners Predictive Forecast Models
Four Corners' time-series forecasting models is one of many Four Corners' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Four Corners' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Four Corners Property
Checking the ongoing alerts about Four Corners for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Four Corners Property help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Four Corners generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Over 99.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Four Corners Property Trust Inc Expands Portfolio with 12 Million Acquisition |
Additional Tools for Four Stock Analysis
When running Four Corners' price analysis, check to measure Four Corners' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Four Corners is operating at the current time. Most of Four Corners' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Four Corners' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Four Corners' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Four Corners to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.