Fidelity California Municipal Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 11.16
| FCMTX Fund | USD 12.46 0.01 0.08% |
Fidelity |
Fidelity California Target Price Odds to finish below 11.16
The tendency of Fidelity Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 11.16 or more in 90 days |
| 12.46 | 90 days | 11.16 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Fidelity California to drop to $ 11.16 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Fidelity California Municipal probability density function shows the probability of Fidelity Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Fidelity California price to stay between $ 11.16 and its current price of $12.46 at the end of the 90-day period is about 91.92 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Fidelity California has a beta of 0.075. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Fidelity California average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Fidelity California Municipal will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Fidelity California Municipal has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Fidelity California Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Fidelity California
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Fidelity California. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Fidelity California's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Fidelity California Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Fidelity California is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Fidelity California's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Fidelity California Municipal, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Fidelity California within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.0036 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.07 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.09 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.42 |
Fidelity California Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Fidelity California for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Fidelity California can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| The fund retains most of the assets under management (AUM) in different types of exotic instruments. |
Fidelity California Technical Analysis
Fidelity California's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Fidelity Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Fidelity California Municipal. In general, you should focus on analyzing Fidelity Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Fidelity California Predictive Forecast Models
Fidelity California's time-series forecasting models is one of many Fidelity California's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Fidelity California's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Fidelity California
Checking the ongoing alerts about Fidelity California for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Fidelity California help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| The fund retains most of the assets under management (AUM) in different types of exotic instruments. |
Other Information on Investing in Fidelity Mutual Fund
Fidelity California financial ratios help investors to determine whether Fidelity Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Fidelity with respect to the benefits of owning Fidelity California security.
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