Frontier Mfg E Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 19.34
| FCIVX Fund | USD 17.96 0.11 0.61% |
Frontier |
Frontier Mfg Target Price Odds to finish over 19.34
The tendency of Frontier Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 19.34 or more in 90 days |
| 17.96 | 90 days | 19.34 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Frontier Mfg to move over $ 19.34 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Frontier Mfg E probability density function shows the probability of Frontier Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Frontier Mfg E price to stay between its current price of $ 17.96 and $ 19.34 at the end of the 90-day period is about 87.12 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Frontier Mfg has a beta of 0.0795. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Frontier Mfg average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Frontier Mfg E will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Frontier Mfg E has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Frontier Mfg Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Frontier Mfg
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Frontier Mfg E. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Frontier Mfg's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Frontier Mfg Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Frontier Mfg is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Frontier Mfg's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Frontier Mfg E, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Frontier Mfg within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.05 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.08 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.30 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.24 |
Frontier Mfg Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Frontier Mfg for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Frontier Mfg E can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Frontier Mfg E generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The fund retains 95.67% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities |
Frontier Mfg Technical Analysis
Frontier Mfg's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Frontier Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Frontier Mfg E. In general, you should focus on analyzing Frontier Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Frontier Mfg Predictive Forecast Models
Frontier Mfg's time-series forecasting models is one of many Frontier Mfg's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Frontier Mfg's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Frontier Mfg E
Checking the ongoing alerts about Frontier Mfg for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Frontier Mfg E help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Frontier Mfg E generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The fund retains 95.67% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities |
Other Information on Investing in Frontier Mutual Fund
Frontier Mfg financial ratios help investors to determine whether Frontier Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Frontier with respect to the benefits of owning Frontier Mfg security.
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