FORMPIPE SOFTWARE (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 1.94
| F3J Stock | 2.09 0.01 0.48% |
FORMPIPE |
FORMPIPE SOFTWARE Target Price Odds to finish over 1.94
The tendency of FORMPIPE Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above 1.94 in 90 days |
| 2.09 | 90 days | 1.94 | about 82.7 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of FORMPIPE SOFTWARE to stay above 1.94 in 90 days from now is about 82.7 (This FORMPIPE SOFTWARE AB probability density function shows the probability of FORMPIPE Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of FORMPIPE SOFTWARE price to stay between 1.94 and its current price of 2.09 at the end of the 90-day period is about 56.2 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.7 . This usually indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, FORMPIPE SOFTWARE will likely underperform. Additionally FORMPIPE SOFTWARE AB has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. FORMPIPE SOFTWARE Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for FORMPIPE SOFTWARE
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as FORMPIPE SOFTWARE. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.FORMPIPE SOFTWARE Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. FORMPIPE SOFTWARE is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the FORMPIPE SOFTWARE's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold FORMPIPE SOFTWARE AB, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of FORMPIPE SOFTWARE within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.05 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.70 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.1 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.01 |
FORMPIPE SOFTWARE Technical Analysis
FORMPIPE SOFTWARE's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. FORMPIPE Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of FORMPIPE SOFTWARE AB. In general, you should focus on analyzing FORMPIPE Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
FORMPIPE SOFTWARE Predictive Forecast Models
FORMPIPE SOFTWARE's time-series forecasting models is one of many FORMPIPE SOFTWARE's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary FORMPIPE SOFTWARE's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards FORMPIPE SOFTWARE in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, FORMPIPE SOFTWARE's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from FORMPIPE SOFTWARE options trading.
Other Information on Investing in FORMPIPE Stock
FORMPIPE SOFTWARE financial ratios help investors to determine whether FORMPIPE Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in FORMPIPE with respect to the benefits of owning FORMPIPE SOFTWARE security.