Expat Serbia (Germany) Probability of Future Etf Price Finishing Under 0.88

ESNB Etf  EUR 0.88  0.01  1.15%   
Expat Serbia's future price is the expected price of Expat Serbia instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Expat Serbia Belex15 performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Expat Serbia Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Expat Serbia Correlation, Expat Serbia Hype Analysis, Expat Serbia Volatility, Expat Serbia History as well as Expat Serbia Performance.
  
Please specify Expat Serbia's target price for which you would like Expat Serbia odds to be computed.

Expat Serbia Target Price Odds to finish below 0.88

The tendency of Expat Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move below current price in 90 days
 0.88 90 days 0.88 
about 9.01
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Expat Serbia to move below current price in 90 days from now is about 9.01 (This Expat Serbia Belex15 probability density function shows the probability of Expat Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Expat Serbia Belex15 has a beta of -0.34 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Expat Serbia are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Expat Serbia Belex15 is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Expat Serbia Belex15 has an alpha of 0.015, implying that it can generate a 0.015 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Expat Serbia Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Expat Serbia

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Expat Serbia Belex15. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.040.882.38
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.040.812.31
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Expat Serbia. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Expat Serbia's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Expat Serbia's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Expat Serbia Belex15.

Expat Serbia Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Expat Serbia is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Expat Serbia's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Expat Serbia Belex15, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Expat Serbia within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.01
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.34
σ
Overall volatility
0.02
Ir
Information ratio -0.07

Expat Serbia Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Expat Serbia for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Expat Serbia Belex15 can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Expat Serbia Belex15 generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Expat Serbia Belex15 has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock

Expat Serbia Technical Analysis

Expat Serbia's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Expat Etf technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Expat Serbia Belex15. In general, you should focus on analyzing Expat Etf price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Expat Serbia Predictive Forecast Models

Expat Serbia's time-series forecasting models is one of many Expat Serbia's etf analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Expat Serbia's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the etf market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Expat Serbia Belex15

Checking the ongoing alerts about Expat Serbia for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Expat Serbia Belex15 help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Expat Serbia Belex15 generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Expat Serbia Belex15 has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock

Other Information on Investing in Expat Etf

Expat Serbia financial ratios help investors to determine whether Expat Etf is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Expat with respect to the benefits of owning Expat Serbia security.