Essilor International Sa Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Under 121.66
| ESLOY Stock | USD 148.24 0.77 0.52% |
Essilor |
Essilor International Target Price Odds to finish below 121.66
The tendency of Essilor Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 121.66 or more in 90 days |
| 148.24 | 90 days | 121.66 | about 23.21 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Essilor International to drop to $ 121.66 or more in 90 days from now is about 23.21 (This Essilor International SA probability density function shows the probability of Essilor Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Essilor International price to stay between $ 121.66 and its current price of $148.24 at the end of the 90-day period is about 70.01 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Essilor International has a beta of 0.5 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Essilor International average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Essilor International SA will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Essilor International SA has an alpha of 0.305, implying that it can generate a 0.31 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Essilor International Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Essilor International
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Essilor International. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Essilor International Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Essilor International is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Essilor International's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Essilor International SA, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Essilor International within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.31 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.50 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 11.92 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.25 |
Essilor International Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Essilor International for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Essilor International can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Essilor International SA has accumulated 8.91 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.37, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Essilor International has a current ratio of 0.93, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Essilor International until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Essilor International's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Essilor International sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Essilor to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Essilor International's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. |
Essilor International Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Essilor Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Essilor International's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Essilor International's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 441.1 M |
Essilor International Technical Analysis
Essilor International's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Essilor Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Essilor International SA. In general, you should focus on analyzing Essilor Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Essilor International Predictive Forecast Models
Essilor International's time-series forecasting models is one of many Essilor International's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Essilor International's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Essilor International
Checking the ongoing alerts about Essilor International for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Essilor International help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Essilor International SA has accumulated 8.91 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.37, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Essilor International has a current ratio of 0.93, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Essilor International until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Essilor International's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Essilor International sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Essilor to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Essilor International's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. |
Additional Tools for Essilor Pink Sheet Analysis
When running Essilor International's price analysis, check to measure Essilor International's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Essilor International is operating at the current time. Most of Essilor International's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Essilor International's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Essilor International's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Essilor International to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.