Equity Residential Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 76.85
| EQR Stock | USD 71.58 0.79 1.09% |
Equity |
Equity Residential Target Price Odds to finish over 76.85
The tendency of Equity Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 76.85 or more in 90 days |
| 71.58 | 90 days | 76.85 | roughly 2.79 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Equity Residential to move over $ 76.85 or more in 90 days from now is roughly 2.79 (This Equity Residential probability density function shows the probability of Equity Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Equity Residential price to stay between its current price of $ 71.58 and $ 76.85 at the end of the 90-day period is about 85.1 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Equity Residential has a beta of 0.26 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Equity Residential average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Equity Residential will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Equity Residential has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Equity Residential Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Equity Residential
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Equity Residential. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Equity Residential Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Equity Residential is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Equity Residential's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Equity Residential, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Equity Residential within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.08 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.26 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.71 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.07 |
Equity Residential Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Equity Residential for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Equity Residential can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Equity Residential generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Equity Residential has 7.7 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 0.67, which is OK given its current industry classification. Equity Residential has a current ratio of 0.25, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Note however, debt could still be an excellent tool for Equity to invest in growth at high rates of return. | |
| Over 95.0% of Equity Residential shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Equity Residential Achieves Prestigious Recognition in Dow Jones Sustainability Indices |
Equity Residential Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Equity Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Equity Residential's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Equity Residential's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 390.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 50.7 M |
Equity Residential Technical Analysis
Equity Residential's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Equity Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Equity Residential. In general, you should focus on analyzing Equity Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Equity Residential Predictive Forecast Models
Equity Residential's time-series forecasting models is one of many Equity Residential's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Equity Residential's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Equity Residential
Checking the ongoing alerts about Equity Residential for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Equity Residential help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Equity Residential generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Equity Residential has 7.7 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 0.67, which is OK given its current industry classification. Equity Residential has a current ratio of 0.25, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Note however, debt could still be an excellent tool for Equity to invest in growth at high rates of return. | |
| Over 95.0% of Equity Residential shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Equity Residential Achieves Prestigious Recognition in Dow Jones Sustainability Indices |
Additional Tools for Equity Stock Analysis
When running Equity Residential's price analysis, check to measure Equity Residential's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Equity Residential is operating at the current time. Most of Equity Residential's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Equity Residential's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Equity Residential's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Equity Residential to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.