Essential Properties Realty Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 31.52
| EPRT Stock | USD 31.95 0.29 0.92% |
Essential |
Essential Properties Target Price Odds to finish below 31.52
The tendency of Essential Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 31.52 or more in 90 days |
| 31.95 | 90 days | 31.52 | under 4 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Essential Properties to drop to $ 31.52 or more in 90 days from now is under 4 (This Essential Properties Realty probability density function shows the probability of Essential Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Essential Properties price to stay between $ 31.52 and its current price of $31.95 at the end of the 90-day period is about 6.72 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Essential Properties has a beta of 0.48 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Essential Properties average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Essential Properties Realty will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Essential Properties Realty has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Essential Properties Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Essential Properties
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Essential Properties. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Essential Properties Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Essential Properties is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Essential Properties' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Essential Properties Realty, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Essential Properties within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.12 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.48 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.81 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.11 |
Essential Properties Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Essential Properties for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Essential Properties can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Essential Properties generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Essential Properties is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Over 99.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Deutsche Bank Initiates Coverage of Essential Properties Realty Trust with Buy Recommendation - MSN |
Essential Properties Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Essential Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Essential Properties' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Essential Properties' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 153.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 39.8 M |
Essential Properties Technical Analysis
Essential Properties' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Essential Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Essential Properties Realty. In general, you should focus on analyzing Essential Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Essential Properties Predictive Forecast Models
Essential Properties' time-series forecasting models is one of many Essential Properties' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Essential Properties' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Essential Properties
Checking the ongoing alerts about Essential Properties for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Essential Properties help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Essential Properties generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Essential Properties is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Over 99.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Deutsche Bank Initiates Coverage of Essential Properties Realty Trust with Buy Recommendation - MSN |
Additional Tools for Essential Stock Analysis
When running Essential Properties' price analysis, check to measure Essential Properties' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Essential Properties is operating at the current time. Most of Essential Properties' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Essential Properties' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Essential Properties' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Essential Properties to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.