STORA ENSO (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 9.58

ENUA Stock  EUR 9.58  0.10  1.05%   
STORA ENSO's future price is the expected price of STORA ENSO instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of STORA ENSO OYJ performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out STORA ENSO Backtesting, STORA ENSO Valuation, STORA ENSO Correlation, STORA ENSO Hype Analysis, STORA ENSO Volatility, STORA ENSO History as well as STORA ENSO Performance.
  
Please specify STORA ENSO's target price for which you would like STORA ENSO odds to be computed.

STORA ENSO Target Price Odds to finish below 9.58

The tendency of STORA Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move below current price in 90 days
 9.58 90 days 9.58 
about 19.45
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of STORA ENSO to move below current price in 90 days from now is about 19.45 (This STORA ENSO OYJ probability density function shows the probability of STORA Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon STORA ENSO has a beta of 0.3 suggesting as returns on the market go up, STORA ENSO average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding STORA ENSO OYJ will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally STORA ENSO OYJ has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   STORA ENSO Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for STORA ENSO

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as STORA ENSO OYJ. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
7.649.5811.52
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
5.927.869.80
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
8.009.9411.88
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
8.729.5210.31
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as STORA ENSO. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against STORA ENSO's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, STORA ENSO's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in STORA ENSO OYJ.

STORA ENSO Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. STORA ENSO is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the STORA ENSO's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold STORA ENSO OYJ, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of STORA ENSO within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.18
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.30
σ
Overall volatility
0.84
Ir
Information ratio -0.12

STORA ENSO Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of STORA ENSO for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for STORA ENSO OYJ can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
STORA ENSO OYJ generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 52.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

STORA ENSO Technical Analysis

STORA ENSO's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. STORA Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of STORA ENSO OYJ. In general, you should focus on analyzing STORA Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

STORA ENSO Predictive Forecast Models

STORA ENSO's time-series forecasting models is one of many STORA ENSO's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary STORA ENSO's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about STORA ENSO OYJ

Checking the ongoing alerts about STORA ENSO for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for STORA ENSO OYJ help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
STORA ENSO OYJ generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 52.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Other Information on Investing in STORA Stock

STORA ENSO financial ratios help investors to determine whether STORA Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in STORA with respect to the benefits of owning STORA ENSO security.