Enel Amricas (Chile) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 88.66

ENELAM Stock  CLP 88.66  0.33  0.37%   
Enel Amricas' future price is the expected price of Enel Amricas instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Enel Amricas SA performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Enel Amricas Backtesting, Enel Amricas Valuation, Enel Amricas Correlation, Enel Amricas Hype Analysis, Enel Amricas Volatility, Enel Amricas History as well as Enel Amricas Performance.
  
Please specify Enel Amricas' target price for which you would like Enel Amricas odds to be computed.

Enel Amricas Target Price Odds to finish over 88.66

The tendency of Enel Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 88.66 90 days 88.66 
about 77.28
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Enel Amricas to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 77.28 (This Enel Amricas SA probability density function shows the probability of Enel Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Enel Amricas has a beta of 0.0397 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Enel Amricas average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Enel Amricas SA will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Enel Amricas SA has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Enel Amricas Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Enel Amricas

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Enel Amricas SA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
87.5588.6689.77
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
85.2586.3697.53
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
90.2791.3892.49
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
87.8789.2090.52
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Enel Amricas. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Enel Amricas' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Enel Amricas' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Enel Amricas SA.

Enel Amricas Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Enel Amricas is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Enel Amricas' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Enel Amricas SA, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Enel Amricas within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.1
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.04
σ
Overall volatility
2.70
Ir
Information ratio -0.17

Enel Amricas Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Enel Amricas for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Enel Amricas SA can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Enel Amricas SA generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Enel Amricas SA has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
Enel Amricas SA has accumulated 4.91 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 105.7, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Enel Amricas SA has a current ratio of 0.71, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Enel Amricas until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Enel Amricas' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Enel Amricas SA sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Enel to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Enel Amricas' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
About 82.0% of Enel Amricas shares are held by company insiders

Enel Amricas Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Enel Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Enel Amricas' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Enel Amricas' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding76.1 B

Enel Amricas Technical Analysis

Enel Amricas' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Enel Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Enel Amricas SA. In general, you should focus on analyzing Enel Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Enel Amricas Predictive Forecast Models

Enel Amricas' time-series forecasting models is one of many Enel Amricas' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Enel Amricas' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Enel Amricas SA

Checking the ongoing alerts about Enel Amricas for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Enel Amricas SA help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Enel Amricas SA generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Enel Amricas SA has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
Enel Amricas SA has accumulated 4.91 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 105.7, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Enel Amricas SA has a current ratio of 0.71, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Enel Amricas until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Enel Amricas' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Enel Amricas SA sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Enel to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Enel Amricas' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
About 82.0% of Enel Amricas shares are held by company insiders

Other Information on Investing in Enel Stock

Enel Amricas financial ratios help investors to determine whether Enel Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Enel with respect to the benefits of owning Enel Amricas security.