European Metals Holdings Stock Probability of Future OTC Stock Price Finishing Over 23.89

EMHXY Stock  USD 2.00  0.00  0.00%   
European Metals' future price is the expected price of European Metals instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of European Metals Holdings performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out European Metals Backtesting, European Metals Valuation, European Metals Correlation, European Metals Hype Analysis, European Metals Volatility, European Metals History as well as European Metals Performance.
  
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European Metals Target Price Odds to finish over 23.89

The tendency of European OTC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 23.89  or more in 90 days
 2.00 90 days 23.89 
close to zero percent
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of European Metals to move over $ 23.89  or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This European Metals Holdings probability density function shows the probability of European OTC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of European Metals Holdings price to stay between its current price of $ 2.00  and $ 23.89  at the end of the 90-day period is about 78.1 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon European Metals Holdings has a beta of -1.19 suggesting as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding European Metals Holdings are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, European Metals is expected to outperform its benchmark. Additionally European Metals Holdings has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   European Metals Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for European Metals

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as European Metals Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of European Metals' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.102.006.75
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.122.417.16
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.041.926.67
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
1.842.132.43
Details

European Metals Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. European Metals is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the European Metals' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold European Metals Holdings, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of European Metals within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.64
β
Beta against Dow Jones-1.19
σ
Overall volatility
0.49
Ir
Information ratio -0.19

European Metals Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of European Metals for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for European Metals Holdings can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
European Metals generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
European Metals has high historical volatility and very poor performance
European Metals has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the revenue of 1.1 M. Net Loss for the year was (6.8 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.2 M.
European Metals Holdings has accumulated about 6.94 M in cash with (2.58 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.04.

European Metals Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of European OTC Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential European Metals' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. European Metals' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding186 M

European Metals Technical Analysis

European Metals' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. European OTC Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of European Metals Holdings. In general, you should focus on analyzing European OTC Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

European Metals Predictive Forecast Models

European Metals' time-series forecasting models is one of many European Metals' otc stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary European Metals' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the otc stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about European Metals Holdings

Checking the ongoing alerts about European Metals for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for European Metals Holdings help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
European Metals generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
European Metals has high historical volatility and very poor performance
European Metals has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the revenue of 1.1 M. Net Loss for the year was (6.8 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.2 M.
European Metals Holdings has accumulated about 6.94 M in cash with (2.58 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.04.

Additional Tools for European OTC Stock Analysis

When running European Metals' price analysis, check to measure European Metals' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy European Metals is operating at the current time. Most of European Metals' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of European Metals' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move European Metals' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of European Metals to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.