AB Electrolux (Sweden) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 87.14

ELUX-B Stock  SEK 95.42  2.70  2.91%   
AB Electrolux's future price is the expected price of AB Electrolux instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of AB Electrolux performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out AB Electrolux Backtesting, AB Electrolux Valuation, AB Electrolux Correlation, AB Electrolux Hype Analysis, AB Electrolux Volatility, AB Electrolux History as well as AB Electrolux Performance.
  
Please specify AB Electrolux's target price for which you would like AB Electrolux odds to be computed.

AB Electrolux Target Price Odds to finish below 87.14

The tendency of ELUX-B Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to kr 87.14  or more in 90 days
 95.42 90 days 87.14 
about 21.14
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of AB Electrolux to drop to kr 87.14  or more in 90 days from now is about 21.14 (This AB Electrolux probability density function shows the probability of ELUX-B Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of AB Electrolux price to stay between kr 87.14  and its current price of kr95.42 at the end of the 90-day period is about 42.22 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon AB Electrolux has a beta of 0.0028 suggesting as returns on the market go up, AB Electrolux average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding AB Electrolux will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally AB Electrolux has an alpha of 0.0067, implying that it can generate a 0.006671 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   AB Electrolux Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for AB Electrolux

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as AB Electrolux. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
92.6295.4298.22
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
75.8978.69104.96
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
93.4396.2399.04
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
76.2987.9599.61
Details

AB Electrolux Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. AB Electrolux is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the AB Electrolux's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold AB Electrolux, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of AB Electrolux within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.01
β
Beta against Dow Jones0
σ
Overall volatility
7.25
Ir
Information ratio -0.04

AB Electrolux Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of AB Electrolux for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for AB Electrolux can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
AB Electrolux has accumulated kr31.95 Billion in debt which can lead to volatile earnings
AB Electrolux has accumulated 31.95 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 71.5, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. AB Electrolux has a current ratio of 0.91, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist AB Electrolux until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, AB Electrolux's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like AB Electrolux sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for ELUX-B to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about AB Electrolux's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
The entity reported the revenue of 134.88 B. Net Loss for the year was (215 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 17.7 B.
AB Electrolux has accumulated about 17.56 B in cash with (2.27 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 27.42.

AB Electrolux Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of ELUX-B Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential AB Electrolux's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. AB Electrolux's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding270 M
Dividends Paid2.5 B
Cash And Short Term Investments17.7 B
Forward Annual Dividend Rate9.2
Shares Float218.8 M

AB Electrolux Technical Analysis

AB Electrolux's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. ELUX-B Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of AB Electrolux. In general, you should focus on analyzing ELUX-B Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

AB Electrolux Predictive Forecast Models

AB Electrolux's time-series forecasting models is one of many AB Electrolux's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary AB Electrolux's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about AB Electrolux

Checking the ongoing alerts about AB Electrolux for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for AB Electrolux help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
AB Electrolux has accumulated kr31.95 Billion in debt which can lead to volatile earnings
AB Electrolux has accumulated 31.95 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 71.5, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. AB Electrolux has a current ratio of 0.91, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist AB Electrolux until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, AB Electrolux's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like AB Electrolux sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for ELUX-B to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about AB Electrolux's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
The entity reported the revenue of 134.88 B. Net Loss for the year was (215 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 17.7 B.
AB Electrolux has accumulated about 17.56 B in cash with (2.27 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 27.42.

Other Information on Investing in ELUX-B Stock

AB Electrolux financial ratios help investors to determine whether ELUX-B Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in ELUX-B with respect to the benefits of owning AB Electrolux security.