Elastron (Greece) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 2.02

ELSTR Stock  EUR 2.02  0.01  0.49%   
Elastron's future price is the expected price of Elastron instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Elastron SA performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Elastron Backtesting, Elastron Valuation, Elastron Correlation, Elastron Hype Analysis, Elastron Volatility, Elastron History as well as Elastron Performance.
  
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Elastron Target Price Odds to finish over 2.02

The tendency of Elastron Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 2.02 90 days 2.02 
about 74.7
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Elastron to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 74.7 (This Elastron SA probability density function shows the probability of Elastron Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Elastron has a beta of 0.32 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Elastron average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Elastron SA will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Elastron SA has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Elastron Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Elastron

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Elastron SA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.592.033.47
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.612.043.49
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.612.053.49
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
1.972.022.08
Details

Elastron Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Elastron is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Elastron's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Elastron SA , one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Elastron within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.12
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.32
σ
Overall volatility
0.05
Ir
Information ratio -0.13

Elastron Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Elastron for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Elastron SA can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Elastron SA generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The company has €25.58 Million in debt which may indicate that it relies heavily on debt financing
About 38.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Elastron Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Elastron Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Elastron's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Elastron's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding18.4 M
Dividends Paid654.1 K
Short Long Term Debt24 M

Elastron Technical Analysis

Elastron's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Elastron Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Elastron SA . In general, you should focus on analyzing Elastron Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Elastron Predictive Forecast Models

Elastron's time-series forecasting models is one of many Elastron's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Elastron's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Elastron SA

Checking the ongoing alerts about Elastron for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Elastron SA help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Elastron SA generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The company has €25.58 Million in debt which may indicate that it relies heavily on debt financing
About 38.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Other Information on Investing in Elastron Stock

Elastron financial ratios help investors to determine whether Elastron Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Elastron with respect to the benefits of owning Elastron security.