Elmera Group (Norway) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 37.16
| ELMRA Stock | 38.75 0.50 1.31% |
Elmera |
Elmera Group Target Price Odds to finish below 37.16
The tendency of Elmera Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 37.16 or more in 90 days |
| 38.75 | 90 days | 37.16 | about 77.76 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Elmera Group to drop to 37.16 or more in 90 days from now is about 77.76 (This Elmera Group ASA probability density function shows the probability of Elmera Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Elmera Group ASA price to stay between 37.16 and its current price of 38.75 at the end of the 90-day period is about 13.44 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.03 suggesting Elmera Group ASA market returns are highly reactive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Elmera Group is expected to follow. Additionally Elmera Group ASA has an alpha of 0.1662, implying that it can generate a 0.17 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Elmera Group Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Elmera Group
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Elmera Group ASA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Elmera Group Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Elmera Group is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Elmera Group's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Elmera Group ASA, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Elmera Group within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.17 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.03 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.68 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.09 |
Elmera Group Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Elmera Group for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Elmera Group ASA can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| About 15.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Elmera Group Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Elmera Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Elmera Group's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Elmera Group's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 114.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 306.6 M |
Elmera Group Technical Analysis
Elmera Group's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Elmera Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Elmera Group ASA. In general, you should focus on analyzing Elmera Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Elmera Group Predictive Forecast Models
Elmera Group's time-series forecasting models is one of many Elmera Group's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Elmera Group's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Elmera Group ASA
Checking the ongoing alerts about Elmera Group for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Elmera Group ASA help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| About 15.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Elmera Stock
Elmera Group financial ratios help investors to determine whether Elmera Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Elmera with respect to the benefits of owning Elmera Group security.