Electronic Control Security Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 5.16E-4
| EKCS Stock | USD 0.0008 0.0002 33.33% |
Electronic |
Electronic Control Target Price Odds to finish over 5.16E-4
The tendency of Electronic Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above $ 0.0005 in 90 days |
| 0.0008 | 90 days | 0.0005 | about 74.22 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Electronic Control to stay above $ 0.0005 in 90 days from now is about 74.22 (This Electronic Control Security probability density function shows the probability of Electronic Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Electronic Control price to stay between $ 0.0005 and its current price of $8.0E-4 at the end of the 90-day period is about 26.18 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Electronic Control Security has a beta of -5.26 suggesting as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding Electronic Control Security are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, Electronic Control is expected to outperform its benchmark. Moreover Electronic Control Security has an alpha of 1.8745, implying that it can generate a 1.87 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Electronic Control Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Electronic Control
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Electronic Control. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Electronic Control's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Electronic Control Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Electronic Control is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Electronic Control's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Electronic Control Security, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Electronic Control within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 1.87 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -5.26 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.0004 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.08 |
Electronic Control Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Electronic Control for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Electronic Control can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Electronic Control is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Electronic Control has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Electronic Control appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Electronic Control has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 656.13 K. Net Loss for the year was (927.5 K) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (113.48 K). | |
| Electronic Control Security currently holds about 692 in cash with (679.89 K) of positive cash flow from operations. |
Electronic Control Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Electronic Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Electronic Control's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Electronic Control's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Short Long Term Debt | 2.2 M |
Electronic Control Technical Analysis
Electronic Control's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Electronic Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Electronic Control Security. In general, you should focus on analyzing Electronic Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Electronic Control Predictive Forecast Models
Electronic Control's time-series forecasting models is one of many Electronic Control's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Electronic Control's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Electronic Control
Checking the ongoing alerts about Electronic Control for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Electronic Control help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Electronic Control is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Electronic Control has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Electronic Control appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Electronic Control has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 656.13 K. Net Loss for the year was (927.5 K) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (113.48 K). | |
| Electronic Control Security currently holds about 692 in cash with (679.89 K) of positive cash flow from operations. |
Additional Tools for Electronic Pink Sheet Analysis
When running Electronic Control's price analysis, check to measure Electronic Control's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Electronic Control is operating at the current time. Most of Electronic Control's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Electronic Control's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Electronic Control's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Electronic Control to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.