Edgewood Growth Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 49.47

EGFIX Fund  USD 54.76  0.09  0.16%   
Edgewood Growth's future price is the expected price of Edgewood Growth instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Edgewood Growth Fund performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Edgewood Growth Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Edgewood Growth Correlation, Edgewood Growth Hype Analysis, Edgewood Growth Volatility, Edgewood Growth History as well as Edgewood Growth Performance.
  
Please specify Edgewood Growth's target price for which you would like Edgewood Growth odds to be computed.

Edgewood Growth Target Price Odds to finish below 49.47

The tendency of Edgewood Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 49.47  or more in 90 days
 54.76 90 days 49.47 
under 4
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Edgewood Growth to drop to $ 49.47  or more in 90 days from now is under 4 (This Edgewood Growth Fund probability density function shows the probability of Edgewood Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Edgewood Growth price to stay between $ 49.47  and its current price of $54.76 at the end of the 90-day period is about 92.12 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Edgewood Growth has a beta of 0.79 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Edgewood Growth average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Edgewood Growth Fund will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Edgewood Growth Fund has an alpha of 0.0695, implying that it can generate a 0.0695 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Edgewood Growth Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Edgewood Growth

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Edgewood Growth. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
53.8454.7655.68
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
53.3854.3055.22
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
54.0855.0055.93
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
52.1653.8555.55
Details

Edgewood Growth Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Edgewood Growth is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Edgewood Growth's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Edgewood Growth Fund, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Edgewood Growth within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.07
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.79
σ
Overall volatility
1.50
Ir
Information ratio 0.05

Edgewood Growth Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Edgewood Growth for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Edgewood Growth can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Latest headline from news.google.com: Are these 3 Top-Ranked Mutual Funds In Your Retirement Portfolio - Yahoo Finance
The fund retains 98.3% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities

Edgewood Growth Technical Analysis

Edgewood Growth's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Edgewood Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Edgewood Growth Fund. In general, you should focus on analyzing Edgewood Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Edgewood Growth Predictive Forecast Models

Edgewood Growth's time-series forecasting models is one of many Edgewood Growth's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Edgewood Growth's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Edgewood Growth

Checking the ongoing alerts about Edgewood Growth for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Edgewood Growth help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Latest headline from news.google.com: Are these 3 Top-Ranked Mutual Funds In Your Retirement Portfolio - Yahoo Finance
The fund retains 98.3% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities

Other Information on Investing in Edgewood Mutual Fund

Edgewood Growth financial ratios help investors to determine whether Edgewood Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Edgewood with respect to the benefits of owning Edgewood Growth security.
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