Enterprise Financial Services Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 53.58

EFSC Stock  USD 60.92  1.23  2.06%   
Enterprise Financial's implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on Enterprise Financial Services. Implied volatility approximates the future value of Enterprise Financial based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in Enterprise Financial Services over a specific time period. For example, EFSC Option Call 20-12-2024 60 is a CALL option contract on Enterprise Financial's common stock with a strick price of 60.0 expiring on 2024-12-20. The contract was last traded on 2024-07-25 at 09:30:03 for $1.6 and, as of today, has 9 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at an ask price of $3.0. The implied volatility as of the 11th of December 2024 is 9.0. View All Enterprise options

Closest to current price Enterprise long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

Enterprise Financial's future price is the expected price of Enterprise Financial instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Enterprise Financial Services performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Enterprise Financial Backtesting, Enterprise Financial Valuation, Enterprise Financial Correlation, Enterprise Financial Hype Analysis, Enterprise Financial Volatility, Enterprise Financial History as well as Enterprise Financial Performance.
  
At present, Enterprise Financial's Price Book Value Ratio is projected to slightly decrease based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Price To Free Cash Flows Ratio is expected to grow to 6.95, whereas Price To Sales Ratio is forecasted to decline to 2.93. Please specify Enterprise Financial's target price for which you would like Enterprise Financial odds to be computed.

Enterprise Financial Target Price Odds to finish below 53.58

The tendency of Enterprise Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 53.58  or more in 90 days
 60.92 90 days 53.58 
about 41.46
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Enterprise Financial to drop to $ 53.58  or more in 90 days from now is about 41.46 (This Enterprise Financial Services probability density function shows the probability of Enterprise Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Enterprise Financial price to stay between $ 53.58  and its current price of $60.92 at the end of the 90-day period is about 52.09 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 2.41 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Enterprise Financial will likely underperform. Additionally Enterprise Financial Services has an alpha of 0.0059, implying that it can generate a 0.005851 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Enterprise Financial Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Enterprise Financial

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Enterprise Financial. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Enterprise Financial's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
56.9759.4061.83
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
46.2248.6565.66
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
56.3258.7561.18
Details
5 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
43.4547.7553.00
Details

Enterprise Financial Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Enterprise Financial is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Enterprise Financial's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Enterprise Financial Services, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Enterprise Financial within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.01
β
Beta against Dow Jones2.41
σ
Overall volatility
4.21
Ir
Information ratio 0.07

Enterprise Financial Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Enterprise Financial for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Enterprise Financial can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Enterprise Financial has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Over 79.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from bizjournals.com: St. Louis Character Marcela Manjarrezs career demonstrates power of Hispanic workforce

Enterprise Financial Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Enterprise Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Enterprise Financial's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Enterprise Financial's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding37.5 M
Cash And Short Term Investments1.8 B

Enterprise Financial Technical Analysis

Enterprise Financial's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Enterprise Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Enterprise Financial Services. In general, you should focus on analyzing Enterprise Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Enterprise Financial Predictive Forecast Models

Enterprise Financial's time-series forecasting models is one of many Enterprise Financial's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Enterprise Financial's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Enterprise Financial

Checking the ongoing alerts about Enterprise Financial for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Enterprise Financial help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Enterprise Financial has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Over 79.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from bizjournals.com: St. Louis Character Marcela Manjarrezs career demonstrates power of Hispanic workforce
When determining whether Enterprise Financial offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Enterprise Financial's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Enterprise Financial Services Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Enterprise Financial Services Stock:
Is Regional Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Enterprise Financial. If investors know Enterprise will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Enterprise Financial listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.129
Dividend Share
1.03
Earnings Share
4.72
Revenue Per Share
15.805
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.062
The market value of Enterprise Financial is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Enterprise that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Enterprise Financial's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Enterprise Financial's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Enterprise Financial's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Enterprise Financial's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Enterprise Financial's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Enterprise Financial is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Enterprise Financial's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.