Dawson Geophysical Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 1.53
| DWSN Stock | USD 1.41 0.04 2.92% |
Dawson |
Dawson Geophysical Target Price Odds to finish below 1.53
The tendency of Dawson Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under $ 1.53 after 90 days |
| 1.41 | 90 days | 1.53 | about 36.78 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Dawson Geophysical to stay under $ 1.53 after 90 days from now is about 36.78 (This Dawson Geophysical probability density function shows the probability of Dawson Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Dawson Geophysical price to stay between its current price of $ 1.41 and $ 1.53 at the end of the 90-day period is about 27.82 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Dawson Geophysical has a beta of 0.0975 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Dawson Geophysical average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Dawson Geophysical will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Dawson Geophysical has an alpha of 0.0833, implying that it can generate a 0.0833 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Dawson Geophysical Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Dawson Geophysical
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Dawson Geophysical. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Dawson Geophysical's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Dawson Geophysical Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Dawson Geophysical is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Dawson Geophysical's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Dawson Geophysical, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Dawson Geophysical within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.08 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.1 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.12 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.01 |
Dawson Geophysical Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Dawson Geophysical for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Dawson Geophysical can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Dawson Geophysical generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Dawson Geophysical may become a speculative penny stock | |
| Dawson Geophysical has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 96.85 M. Net Loss for the year was (12.15 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (430 K). | |
| Over 87.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: HLX Stock Drops 5 percent Amid Industry Decline - GuruFocus.com |
Dawson Geophysical Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Dawson Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Dawson Geophysical's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Dawson Geophysical's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 26.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 11 M |
Dawson Geophysical Technical Analysis
Dawson Geophysical's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Dawson Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Dawson Geophysical. In general, you should focus on analyzing Dawson Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Dawson Geophysical Predictive Forecast Models
Dawson Geophysical's time-series forecasting models is one of many Dawson Geophysical's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Dawson Geophysical's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Dawson Geophysical
Checking the ongoing alerts about Dawson Geophysical for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Dawson Geophysical help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Dawson Geophysical generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Dawson Geophysical may become a speculative penny stock | |
| Dawson Geophysical has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 96.85 M. Net Loss for the year was (12.15 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (430 K). | |
| Over 87.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: HLX Stock Drops 5 percent Amid Industry Decline - GuruFocus.com |
Check out Dawson Geophysical Backtesting, Dawson Geophysical Valuation, Dawson Geophysical Correlation, Dawson Geophysical Hype Analysis, Dawson Geophysical Volatility, Dawson Geophysical History as well as Dawson Geophysical Performance. To learn how to invest in Dawson Stock, please use our How to Invest in Dawson Geophysical guide.You can also try the Volatility Analysis module to get historical volatility and risk analysis based on latest market data.
Is Oil & Gas Equipment & Services space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Dawson Geophysical. If investors know Dawson will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Dawson Geophysical listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (0.16) | Revenue Per Share 3.079 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.38) | Return On Assets (0.05) | Return On Equity (0.19) |
The market value of Dawson Geophysical is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Dawson that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Dawson Geophysical's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Dawson Geophysical's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Dawson Geophysical's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Dawson Geophysical's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Dawson Geophysical's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Dawson Geophysical is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Dawson Geophysical's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.