DEUTSCHE WOHNEN (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 17.54

DWNP Stock  EUR 11.10  0.10  0.89%   
DEUTSCHE WOHNEN's future price is the expected price of DEUTSCHE WOHNEN instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of DEUTSCHE WOHNEN ADRS12 performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out DEUTSCHE WOHNEN Backtesting, DEUTSCHE WOHNEN Valuation, DEUTSCHE WOHNEN Correlation, DEUTSCHE WOHNEN Hype Analysis, DEUTSCHE WOHNEN Volatility, DEUTSCHE WOHNEN History as well as DEUTSCHE WOHNEN Performance.
  
Please specify DEUTSCHE WOHNEN's target price for which you would like DEUTSCHE WOHNEN odds to be computed.

DEUTSCHE WOHNEN Target Price Odds to finish over 17.54

The tendency of DEUTSCHE Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over € 17.54  or more in 90 days
 11.10 90 days 17.54 
close to zero percent
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of DEUTSCHE WOHNEN to move over € 17.54  or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This DEUTSCHE WOHNEN ADRS12 probability density function shows the probability of DEUTSCHE Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of DEUTSCHE WOHNEN ADRS12 price to stay between its current price of € 11.10  and € 17.54  at the end of the 90-day period is more than 94.0 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon DEUTSCHE WOHNEN has a beta of 0.51 suggesting as returns on the market go up, DEUTSCHE WOHNEN average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding DEUTSCHE WOHNEN ADRS12 will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally DEUTSCHE WOHNEN ADRS12 has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   DEUTSCHE WOHNEN Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for DEUTSCHE WOHNEN

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as DEUTSCHE WOHNEN ADRS12. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
8.9511.1013.25
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
8.7310.8813.03
Details

DEUTSCHE WOHNEN Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. DEUTSCHE WOHNEN is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the DEUTSCHE WOHNEN's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold DEUTSCHE WOHNEN ADRS12, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of DEUTSCHE WOHNEN within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.26
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.51
σ
Overall volatility
0.47
Ir
Information ratio -0.12

DEUTSCHE WOHNEN Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of DEUTSCHE WOHNEN for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for DEUTSCHE WOHNEN ADRS12 can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
DEUTSCHE WOHNEN generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

DEUTSCHE WOHNEN Technical Analysis

DEUTSCHE WOHNEN's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. DEUTSCHE Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of DEUTSCHE WOHNEN ADRS12. In general, you should focus on analyzing DEUTSCHE Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

DEUTSCHE WOHNEN Predictive Forecast Models

DEUTSCHE WOHNEN's time-series forecasting models is one of many DEUTSCHE WOHNEN's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary DEUTSCHE WOHNEN's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about DEUTSCHE WOHNEN ADRS12

Checking the ongoing alerts about DEUTSCHE WOHNEN for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for DEUTSCHE WOHNEN ADRS12 help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
DEUTSCHE WOHNEN generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Other Information on Investing in DEUTSCHE Stock

DEUTSCHE WOHNEN financial ratios help investors to determine whether DEUTSCHE Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in DEUTSCHE with respect to the benefits of owning DEUTSCHE WOHNEN security.