DELCATH SYS (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 8.8

DV3R Stock  EUR 11.80  0.20  1.67%   
DELCATH SYS's future price is the expected price of DELCATH SYS instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of DELCATH SYS NEW performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out DELCATH SYS Backtesting, DELCATH SYS Valuation, DELCATH SYS Correlation, DELCATH SYS Hype Analysis, DELCATH SYS Volatility, DELCATH SYS History as well as DELCATH SYS Performance.
  
Please specify DELCATH SYS's target price for which you would like DELCATH SYS odds to be computed.

DELCATH SYS Target Price Odds to finish over 8.8

The tendency of DELCATH Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above € 8.80  in 90 days
 11.80 90 days 8.80 
about 79.48
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of DELCATH SYS to stay above € 8.80  in 90 days from now is about 79.48 (This DELCATH SYS NEW probability density function shows the probability of DELCATH Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of DELCATH SYS NEW price to stay between € 8.80  and its current price of €11.8 at the end of the 90-day period is about 72.59 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon DELCATH SYS has a beta of 0.15 suggesting as returns on the market go up, DELCATH SYS average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding DELCATH SYS NEW will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally DELCATH SYS NEW has an alpha of 0.6933, implying that it can generate a 0.69 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   DELCATH SYS Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for DELCATH SYS

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as DELCATH SYS NEW. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
7.2111.8016.39
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
4.499.0813.67
Details

DELCATH SYS Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. DELCATH SYS is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the DELCATH SYS's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold DELCATH SYS NEW, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of DELCATH SYS within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.69
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.15
σ
Overall volatility
1.30
Ir
Information ratio 0.15

DELCATH SYS Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of DELCATH SYS for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for DELCATH SYS NEW can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
DELCATH SYS NEW appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues

DELCATH SYS Technical Analysis

DELCATH SYS's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. DELCATH Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of DELCATH SYS NEW. In general, you should focus on analyzing DELCATH Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

DELCATH SYS Predictive Forecast Models

DELCATH SYS's time-series forecasting models is one of many DELCATH SYS's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary DELCATH SYS's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about DELCATH SYS NEW

Checking the ongoing alerts about DELCATH SYS for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for DELCATH SYS NEW help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
DELCATH SYS NEW appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues

Other Information on Investing in DELCATH Stock

DELCATH SYS financial ratios help investors to determine whether DELCATH Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in DELCATH with respect to the benefits of owning DELCATH SYS security.