Diana Shipping Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 10.72
| DSX Stock | USD 1.78 0.04 2.30% |
Diana |
Diana Shipping Target Price Odds to finish over 10.72
The tendency of Diana Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 10.72 or more in 90 days |
| 1.78 | 90 days | 10.72 | close to zero percent |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Diana Shipping to move over $ 10.72 or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Diana Shipping probability density function shows the probability of Diana Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Diana Shipping price to stay between its current price of $ 1.78 and $ 10.72 at the end of the 90-day period is close to 99 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Diana Shipping has a beta of 0.0815 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Diana Shipping average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Diana Shipping will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Diana Shipping has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Diana Shipping Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Diana Shipping
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Diana Shipping. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Diana Shipping's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Diana Shipping Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Diana Shipping is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Diana Shipping's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Diana Shipping, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Diana Shipping within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.46 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.08 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.17 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.22 |
Diana Shipping Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Diana Shipping for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Diana Shipping can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Diana Shipping generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Diana Shipping may become a speculative penny stock | |
| Diana Shipping is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Diana Shipping has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| About 38.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Q3 2024 Diana Shipping Inc Earnings Call Transcript |
Diana Shipping Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Diana Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Diana Shipping's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Diana Shipping's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 101.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 162.3 M |
Diana Shipping Technical Analysis
Diana Shipping's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Diana Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Diana Shipping. In general, you should focus on analyzing Diana Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Diana Shipping Predictive Forecast Models
Diana Shipping's time-series forecasting models is one of many Diana Shipping's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Diana Shipping's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Diana Shipping
Checking the ongoing alerts about Diana Shipping for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Diana Shipping help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Diana Shipping generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Diana Shipping may become a speculative penny stock | |
| Diana Shipping is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Diana Shipping has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| About 38.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Q3 2024 Diana Shipping Inc Earnings Call Transcript |
Additional Tools for Diana Stock Analysis
When running Diana Shipping's price analysis, check to measure Diana Shipping's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Diana Shipping is operating at the current time. Most of Diana Shipping's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Diana Shipping's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Diana Shipping's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Diana Shipping to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.