Dfa Oregon Municipal Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 9.70

DOGMX Fund  USD 9.86  0.01  0.10%   
Dfa Oregon's future price is the expected price of Dfa Oregon instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Dfa Oregon Municipal performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Dfa Oregon Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Dfa Oregon Correlation, Dfa Oregon Hype Analysis, Dfa Oregon Volatility, Dfa Oregon History as well as Dfa Oregon Performance.
  
Please specify Dfa Oregon's target price for which you would like Dfa Oregon odds to be computed.

Dfa Oregon Target Price Odds to finish below 9.70

The tendency of Dfa Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 9.70  or more in 90 days
 9.86 90 days 9.70 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Dfa Oregon to drop to $ 9.70  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Dfa Oregon Municipal probability density function shows the probability of Dfa Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Dfa Oregon Municipal price to stay between $ 9.70  and its current price of $9.86 at the end of the 90-day period is about 91.67 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Dfa Oregon Municipal has a beta of -0.033 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Dfa Oregon are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Dfa Oregon Municipal is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Dfa Oregon Municipal has an alpha of 5.0E-4, implying that it can generate a 5.37E-4 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Dfa Oregon Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Dfa Oregon

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Dfa Oregon Municipal. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
9.759.869.97
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
9.549.6510.85
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
9.759.869.97
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
9.769.819.87
Details

Dfa Oregon Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Dfa Oregon is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Dfa Oregon's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Dfa Oregon Municipal, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Dfa Oregon within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.0005
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.03
σ
Overall volatility
0.03
Ir
Information ratio -1.21

Dfa Oregon Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Dfa Oregon for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Dfa Oregon Municipal can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund retains about 97.52% of its assets under management (AUM) in fixed income securities

Dfa Oregon Technical Analysis

Dfa Oregon's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Dfa Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Dfa Oregon Municipal. In general, you should focus on analyzing Dfa Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Dfa Oregon Predictive Forecast Models

Dfa Oregon's time-series forecasting models is one of many Dfa Oregon's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Dfa Oregon's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Dfa Oregon Municipal

Checking the ongoing alerts about Dfa Oregon for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Dfa Oregon Municipal help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund retains about 97.52% of its assets under management (AUM) in fixed income securities

Other Information on Investing in Dfa Mutual Fund

Dfa Oregon financial ratios help investors to determine whether Dfa Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Dfa with respect to the benefits of owning Dfa Oregon security.
Stocks Directory
Find actively traded stocks across global markets
AI Portfolio Architect
Use AI to generate optimal portfolios and find profitable investment opportunities
Technical Analysis
Check basic technical indicators and analysis based on most latest market data
Portfolio Suggestion
Get suggestions outside of your existing asset allocation including your own model portfolios