Deckers Outdoor (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 132.41
| DO2 Stock | EUR 194.50 1.95 0.99% |
Deckers |
Deckers Outdoor Target Price Odds to finish below 132.41
The tendency of Deckers Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to € 132.41 or more in 90 days |
| 194.50 | 90 days | 132.41 | about 8.38 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Deckers Outdoor to drop to € 132.41 or more in 90 days from now is about 8.38 (This Deckers Outdoor probability density function shows the probability of Deckers Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Deckers Outdoor price to stay between € 132.41 and its current price of €194.5 at the end of the 90-day period is about 88.03 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Deckers Outdoor has a beta of 0.34 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Deckers Outdoor average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Deckers Outdoor will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Deckers Outdoor has an alpha of 0.5206, implying that it can generate a 0.52 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Deckers Outdoor Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Deckers Outdoor
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Deckers Outdoor. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Deckers Outdoor Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Deckers Outdoor is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Deckers Outdoor's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Deckers Outdoor, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Deckers Outdoor within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.52 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.34 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 19.50 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.17 |
Deckers Outdoor Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Deckers Outdoor for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Deckers Outdoor can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Over 99.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies |
Deckers Outdoor Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Deckers Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Deckers Outdoor's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Deckers Outdoor's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 27.2 M |
Deckers Outdoor Technical Analysis
Deckers Outdoor's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Deckers Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Deckers Outdoor. In general, you should focus on analyzing Deckers Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Deckers Outdoor Predictive Forecast Models
Deckers Outdoor's time-series forecasting models is one of many Deckers Outdoor's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Deckers Outdoor's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Deckers Outdoor
Checking the ongoing alerts about Deckers Outdoor for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Deckers Outdoor help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Over 99.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies |
Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Deckers Stock
When determining whether Deckers Outdoor is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if Deckers Stock is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Deckers Outdoor Stock. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Deckers Outdoor Stock:Check out Deckers Outdoor Backtesting, Deckers Outdoor Valuation, Deckers Outdoor Correlation, Deckers Outdoor Hype Analysis, Deckers Outdoor Volatility, Deckers Outdoor History as well as Deckers Outdoor Performance. For more detail on how to invest in Deckers Stock please use our How to Invest in Deckers Outdoor guide.You can also try the Alpha Finder module to use alpha and beta coefficients to find investment opportunities after accounting for the risk.