Diamedica Therapeutics Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 21.28
| DMAC Stock | USD 5.43 0.09 1.69% |
DiaMedica |
DiaMedica Therapeutics Target Price Odds to finish over 21.28
The tendency of DiaMedica Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 21.28 or more in 90 days |
| 5.43 | 90 days | 21.28 | close to zero percent |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of DiaMedica Therapeutics to move over $ 21.28 or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This DiaMedica Therapeutics probability density function shows the probability of DiaMedica Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of DiaMedica Therapeutics price to stay between its current price of $ 5.43 and $ 21.28 at the end of the 90-day period is about 9.22 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days DiaMedica Therapeutics has a beta of 0.24 suggesting as returns on the market go up, DiaMedica Therapeutics average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding DiaMedica Therapeutics will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally DiaMedica Therapeutics has an alpha of 0.5288, implying that it can generate a 0.53 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). DiaMedica Therapeutics Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for DiaMedica Therapeutics
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as DiaMedica Therapeutics. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.DiaMedica Therapeutics Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. DiaMedica Therapeutics is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the DiaMedica Therapeutics' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold DiaMedica Therapeutics, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of DiaMedica Therapeutics within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.53 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.24 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.55 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.09 |
DiaMedica Therapeutics Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of DiaMedica Therapeutics for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for DiaMedica Therapeutics can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| DiaMedica Therapeutics had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Net Loss for the year was (19.38 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| DiaMedica Therapeutics currently holds about 38.44 M in cash with (18.73 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.45. | |
| DiaMedica Therapeutics has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Roughly 26.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: DiaMedica Therapeutics Trading 0.6 percent Higher - Heres What Happened - MarketBeat |
DiaMedica Therapeutics Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of DiaMedica Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential DiaMedica Therapeutics' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. DiaMedica Therapeutics' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 32.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 52.9 M |
DiaMedica Therapeutics Technical Analysis
DiaMedica Therapeutics' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. DiaMedica Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of DiaMedica Therapeutics. In general, you should focus on analyzing DiaMedica Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
DiaMedica Therapeutics Predictive Forecast Models
DiaMedica Therapeutics' time-series forecasting models is one of many DiaMedica Therapeutics' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary DiaMedica Therapeutics' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.