Delta Lithium (Australia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 14.34

DLI Stock   0.17  0.01  5.56%   
Delta Lithium's future price is the expected price of Delta Lithium instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Delta Lithium performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Delta Lithium Backtesting, Delta Lithium Valuation, Delta Lithium Correlation, Delta Lithium Hype Analysis, Delta Lithium Volatility, Delta Lithium History as well as Delta Lithium Performance.
  
Please specify Delta Lithium's target price for which you would like Delta Lithium odds to be computed.

Delta Lithium Target Price Odds to finish over 14.34

The tendency of Delta Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over  14.34  or more in 90 days
 0.17 90 days 14.34 
close to zero percent
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Delta Lithium to move over  14.34  or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Delta Lithium probability density function shows the probability of Delta Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Delta Lithium price to stay between its current price of  0.17  and  14.34  at the end of the 90-day period is roughly 96.0 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Delta Lithium has a beta of -0.77 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Delta Lithium are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Delta Lithium is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Delta Lithium has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Delta Lithium Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Delta Lithium

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Delta Lithium. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.010.184.86
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.010.174.85
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
-0.0039-0.0025-0.001
Details

Delta Lithium Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Delta Lithium is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Delta Lithium's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Delta Lithium, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Delta Lithium within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.09
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.77
σ
Overall volatility
0.03
Ir
Information ratio -0.05

Delta Lithium Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Delta Lithium for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Delta Lithium can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Delta Lithium generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Delta Lithium has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Delta Lithium has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Delta Lithium has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the revenue of 1.15 M. Net Loss for the year was (12.49 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
Delta Lithium generates negative cash flow from operations
About 49.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Delta Lithium Limited When Will It Breakeven - Yahoo Finance

Delta Lithium Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Delta Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Delta Lithium's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Delta Lithium's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding634.1 M
Cash And Short Term Investments87.7 M

Delta Lithium Technical Analysis

Delta Lithium's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Delta Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Delta Lithium. In general, you should focus on analyzing Delta Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Delta Lithium Predictive Forecast Models

Delta Lithium's time-series forecasting models is one of many Delta Lithium's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Delta Lithium's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Delta Lithium

Checking the ongoing alerts about Delta Lithium for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Delta Lithium help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Delta Lithium generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Delta Lithium has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Delta Lithium has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Delta Lithium has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the revenue of 1.15 M. Net Loss for the year was (12.49 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
Delta Lithium generates negative cash flow from operations
About 49.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Delta Lithium Limited When Will It Breakeven - Yahoo Finance

Additional Tools for Delta Stock Analysis

When running Delta Lithium's price analysis, check to measure Delta Lithium's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Delta Lithium is operating at the current time. Most of Delta Lithium's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Delta Lithium's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Delta Lithium's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Delta Lithium to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.