DIeteren Group (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 163.5

DJDA Stock  EUR 162.40  2.50  1.56%   
DIeteren Group's future price is the expected price of DIeteren Group instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of DIeteren Group SA performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out DIeteren Group Backtesting, DIeteren Group Valuation, DIeteren Group Correlation, DIeteren Group Hype Analysis, DIeteren Group Volatility, DIeteren Group History as well as DIeteren Group Performance.
  
Please specify DIeteren Group's target price for which you would like DIeteren Group odds to be computed.

DIeteren Group Target Price Odds to finish below 163.5

The tendency of DIeteren Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under € 163.50  after 90 days
 162.40 90 days 163.50 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of DIeteren Group to stay under € 163.50  after 90 days from now is close to 99 (This DIeteren Group SA probability density function shows the probability of DIeteren Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of DIeteren Group SA price to stay between its current price of € 162.40  and € 163.50  at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon DIeteren Group SA has a beta of -0.0456 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding DIeteren Group are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, DIeteren Group SA is likely to outperform the market. Additionally DIeteren Group SA has an alpha of 0.4492, implying that it can generate a 0.45 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   DIeteren Group Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for DIeteren Group

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as DIeteren Group SA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
159.47162.40165.33
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
126.26129.19178.64
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
163.81166.74169.66
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
113.20146.99180.77
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as DIeteren Group. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against DIeteren Group's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, DIeteren Group's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in DIeteren Group SA.

DIeteren Group Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. DIeteren Group is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the DIeteren Group's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold DIeteren Group SA, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of DIeteren Group within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.45
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.05
σ
Overall volatility
13.57
Ir
Information ratio 0.15

DIeteren Group Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of DIeteren Group for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for DIeteren Group SA can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 59.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

DIeteren Group Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of DIeteren Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential DIeteren Group's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. DIeteren Group's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding53.4 M

DIeteren Group Technical Analysis

DIeteren Group's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. DIeteren Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of DIeteren Group SA. In general, you should focus on analyzing DIeteren Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

DIeteren Group Predictive Forecast Models

DIeteren Group's time-series forecasting models is one of many DIeteren Group's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary DIeteren Group's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about DIeteren Group SA

Checking the ongoing alerts about DIeteren Group for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for DIeteren Group SA help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 59.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Other Information on Investing in DIeteren Stock

DIeteren Group financial ratios help investors to determine whether DIeteren Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in DIeteren with respect to the benefits of owning DIeteren Group security.