CHRISTIAN DIOR (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 122.44
| DIO0 Stock | EUR 145.00 2.00 1.36% |
CHRISTIAN |
CHRISTIAN DIOR Target Price Odds to finish below 122.44
The tendency of CHRISTIAN Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to € 122.44 or more in 90 days |
| 145.00 | 90 days | 122.44 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of CHRISTIAN DIOR to drop to € 122.44 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This CHRISTIAN DIOR ADR14EO2 probability density function shows the probability of CHRISTIAN Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of CHRISTIAN DIOR ADR14EO2 price to stay between € 122.44 and its current price of €145.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 68.91 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon CHRISTIAN DIOR has a beta of 0.36 suggesting as returns on the market go up, CHRISTIAN DIOR average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding CHRISTIAN DIOR ADR14EO2 will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally CHRISTIAN DIOR ADR14EO2 has an alpha of 0.0694, implying that it can generate a 0.0694 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). CHRISTIAN DIOR Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for CHRISTIAN DIOR
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as CHRISTIAN DIOR ADR14EO2. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.CHRISTIAN DIOR Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. CHRISTIAN DIOR is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the CHRISTIAN DIOR's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold CHRISTIAN DIOR ADR14EO2, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of CHRISTIAN DIOR within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.07 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.36 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 7.37 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.02 |
CHRISTIAN DIOR Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of CHRISTIAN Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential CHRISTIAN DIOR's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. CHRISTIAN DIOR's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Dividend Yield | 0.0153 | |
| Forward Annual Dividend Rate | 2.99 | |
| Shares Float | 83.5 M |
CHRISTIAN DIOR Technical Analysis
CHRISTIAN DIOR's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. CHRISTIAN Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of CHRISTIAN DIOR ADR14EO2. In general, you should focus on analyzing CHRISTIAN Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
CHRISTIAN DIOR Predictive Forecast Models
CHRISTIAN DIOR's time-series forecasting models is one of many CHRISTIAN DIOR's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary CHRISTIAN DIOR's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards CHRISTIAN DIOR in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, CHRISTIAN DIOR's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from CHRISTIAN DIOR options trading.
Other Information on Investing in CHRISTIAN Stock
CHRISTIAN DIOR financial ratios help investors to determine whether CHRISTIAN Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in CHRISTIAN with respect to the benefits of owning CHRISTIAN DIOR security.