Destinations Equity Income Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 12.51

DGEFX Fund  USD 12.59  0.12  0.96%   
Destinations Equity's future price is the expected price of Destinations Equity instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Destinations Equity Income performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Destinations Equity Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Destinations Equity Correlation, Destinations Equity Hype Analysis, Destinations Equity Volatility, Destinations Equity History as well as Destinations Equity Performance.
  
Please specify Destinations Equity's target price for which you would like Destinations Equity odds to be computed.

Destinations Equity Target Price Odds to finish below 12.51

The tendency of Destinations Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 12.51  or more in 90 days
 12.59 90 days 12.51 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Destinations Equity to drop to $ 12.51  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Destinations Equity Income probability density function shows the probability of Destinations Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Destinations Equity price to stay between $ 12.51  and its current price of $12.59 at the end of the 90-day period is about 1.08 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Destinations Equity has a beta of 0.6 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Destinations Equity average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Destinations Equity Income will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Destinations Equity Income has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Destinations Equity Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Destinations Equity

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Destinations Equity. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
12.0212.5913.16
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
12.0912.6613.23
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Destinations Equity. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Destinations Equity's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Destinations Equity's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Destinations Equity.

Destinations Equity Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Destinations Equity is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Destinations Equity's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Destinations Equity Income, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Destinations Equity within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.05
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.60
σ
Overall volatility
0.15
Ir
Information ratio -0.11

Destinations Equity Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Destinations Equity for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Destinations Equity can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Destinations Equity generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The fund retains 97.93% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities

Destinations Equity Technical Analysis

Destinations Equity's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Destinations Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Destinations Equity Income. In general, you should focus on analyzing Destinations Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Destinations Equity Predictive Forecast Models

Destinations Equity's time-series forecasting models is one of many Destinations Equity's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Destinations Equity's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Destinations Equity

Checking the ongoing alerts about Destinations Equity for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Destinations Equity help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Destinations Equity generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The fund retains 97.93% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities

Other Information on Investing in Destinations Mutual Fund

Destinations Equity financial ratios help investors to determine whether Destinations Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Destinations with respect to the benefits of owning Destinations Equity security.
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