Df Dent Midcap Fund Odds of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 39.57

DFMGX Fund  USD 39.04  0.34  0.86%   
Df Dent's future price is the expected price of Df Dent instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Df Dent Midcap performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Df Dent Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Df Dent Correlation, Df Dent Hype Analysis, Df Dent Volatility, Df Dent History as well as Df Dent Performance.
  
Please specify Df Dent's target price for which you would like Df Dent odds to be computed.

Df Dent Target Price Odds to finish below 39.57

The tendency of DFMGX Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under $ 39.57  after 90 days
 39.04 90 days 39.57 
over 95.02
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Df Dent to stay under $ 39.57  after 90 days from now is over 95.02 (This Df Dent Midcap probability density function shows the probability of DFMGX Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Df Dent Midcap price to stay between its current price of $ 39.04  and $ 39.57  at the end of the 90-day period is about 6.21 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Df Dent has a beta of 0.18 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Df Dent average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Df Dent Midcap will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Df Dent Midcap has an alpha of 0.0961, implying that it can generate a 0.0961 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Df Dent Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Df Dent

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Df Dent Midcap. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
38.1539.0439.93
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
37.8638.7539.64
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
38.0238.9139.81
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
38.7239.4540.19
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Df Dent. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Df Dent's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Df Dent's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Df Dent Midcap.

Df Dent Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Df Dent is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Df Dent's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Df Dent Midcap, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Df Dent within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.1
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.18
σ
Overall volatility
1.22
Ir
Information ratio 0

Df Dent Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Df Dent for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Df Dent Midcap can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund retains 99.02% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities

Df Dent Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of DFMGX Mutual Fund often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Df Dent's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Df Dent's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.

Df Dent Technical Analysis

Df Dent's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. DFMGX Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Df Dent Midcap. In general, you should focus on analyzing DFMGX Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Df Dent Predictive Forecast Models

Df Dent's time-series forecasting models is one of many Df Dent's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Df Dent's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Df Dent Midcap

Checking the ongoing alerts about Df Dent for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Df Dent Midcap help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund retains 99.02% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities

Other Information on Investing in DFMGX Mutual Fund

Df Dent financial ratios help investors to determine whether DFMGX Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in DFMGX with respect to the benefits of owning Df Dent security.
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