Davis Financial Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 55.20
| DFFCX Fund | USD 52.85 0.86 1.65% |
Davis |
Davis Financial Target Price Odds to finish over 55.20
The tendency of Davis Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 55.20 or more in 90 days |
| 52.85 | 90 days | 55.20 | about 1.04 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Davis Financial to move over $ 55.20 or more in 90 days from now is about 1.04 (This Davis Financial Fund probability density function shows the probability of Davis Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Davis Financial price to stay between its current price of $ 52.85 and $ 55.20 at the end of the 90-day period is about 17.43 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Davis Financial has a beta of 0.83 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Davis Financial average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Davis Financial Fund will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Davis Financial Fund has an alpha of 0.0275, implying that it can generate a 0.0275 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Davis Financial Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Davis Financial
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Davis Financial. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Davis Financial's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Davis Financial Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Davis Financial is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Davis Financial's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Davis Financial Fund, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Davis Financial within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.03 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.83 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.66 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.03 |
Davis Financial Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Davis Financial for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Davis Financial can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Davis Financial generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The fund retains 98.83% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities |
Davis Financial Technical Analysis
Davis Financial's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Davis Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Davis Financial Fund. In general, you should focus on analyzing Davis Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Davis Financial Predictive Forecast Models
Davis Financial's time-series forecasting models is one of many Davis Financial's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Davis Financial's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Davis Financial
Checking the ongoing alerts about Davis Financial for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Davis Financial help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Davis Financial generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The fund retains 98.83% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities |
Other Information on Investing in Davis Mutual Fund
Davis Financial financial ratios help investors to determine whether Davis Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Davis with respect to the benefits of owning Davis Financial security.
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