Davenport Equity Opportunities Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 26.40

DEOPX Fund  USD 25.97  0.17  0.65%   
Davenport Equity's future price is the expected price of Davenport Equity instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Davenport Equity Opportunities performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Davenport Equity Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Davenport Equity Correlation, Davenport Equity Hype Analysis, Davenport Equity Volatility, Davenport Equity History as well as Davenport Equity Performance.
  
Please specify Davenport Equity's target price for which you would like Davenport Equity odds to be computed.

Davenport Equity Target Price Odds to finish over 26.40

The tendency of Davenport Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 26.40  or more in 90 days
 25.97 90 days 26.40 
about 6.75
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Davenport Equity to move over $ 26.40  or more in 90 days from now is about 6.75 (This Davenport Equity Opportunities probability density function shows the probability of Davenport Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Davenport Equity Opp price to stay between its current price of $ 25.97  and $ 26.40  at the end of the 90-day period is about 8.35 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon the mutual fund has the beta coefficient of 1.02 suggesting Davenport Equity Opportunities market returns are sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Davenport Equity is expected to follow. Additionally Davenport Equity Opportunities has an alpha of 0.0455, implying that it can generate a 0.0455 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Davenport Equity Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Davenport Equity

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Davenport Equity Opp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
25.0925.9726.85
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
25.5726.4527.33
Details

Davenport Equity Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Davenport Equity is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Davenport Equity's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Davenport Equity Opportunities, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Davenport Equity within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.05
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.02
σ
Overall volatility
0.93
Ir
Information ratio 0.05

Davenport Equity Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Davenport Equity for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Davenport Equity Opp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund retains 97.25% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities

Davenport Equity Technical Analysis

Davenport Equity's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Davenport Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Davenport Equity Opportunities. In general, you should focus on analyzing Davenport Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Davenport Equity Predictive Forecast Models

Davenport Equity's time-series forecasting models is one of many Davenport Equity's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Davenport Equity's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Davenport Equity Opp

Checking the ongoing alerts about Davenport Equity for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Davenport Equity Opp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund retains 97.25% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities

Other Information on Investing in Davenport Mutual Fund

Davenport Equity financial ratios help investors to determine whether Davenport Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Davenport with respect to the benefits of owning Davenport Equity security.
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