Deltex Medical (UK) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 2.96
| DEMG Stock | 0.02 0.01 31.43% |
Deltex |
Deltex Medical Target Price Odds to finish over 2.96
The tendency of Deltex Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over 2.96 or more in 90 days |
| 0.02 | 90 days | 2.96 | close to zero percent |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Deltex Medical to move over 2.96 or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Deltex Medical Group probability density function shows the probability of Deltex Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Deltex Medical Group price to stay between its current price of 0.02 and 2.96 at the end of the 90-day period is about 97.0 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Deltex Medical Group has a beta of -3.78 suggesting as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding Deltex Medical Group are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, Deltex Medical is expected to outperform its benchmark. Additionally Deltex Medical Group has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Deltex Medical Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Deltex Medical
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Deltex Medical Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Deltex Medical Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Deltex Medical is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Deltex Medical's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Deltex Medical Group, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Deltex Medical within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -1.36 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -3.78 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.02 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.12 |
Deltex Medical Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Deltex Medical for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Deltex Medical Group can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Deltex Medical Group generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Deltex Medical Group has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Deltex Medical Group has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Deltex Medical Group has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 1.78 M. Net Loss for the year was (1.26 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.11 M. | |
| Deltex Medical generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 82.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Deltex Medical to delist from AIM on February 21 - Investing.com |
Deltex Medical Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Deltex Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Deltex Medical's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Deltex Medical's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.2 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 705 K |
Deltex Medical Technical Analysis
Deltex Medical's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Deltex Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Deltex Medical Group. In general, you should focus on analyzing Deltex Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Deltex Medical Predictive Forecast Models
Deltex Medical's time-series forecasting models is one of many Deltex Medical's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Deltex Medical's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Deltex Medical Group
Checking the ongoing alerts about Deltex Medical for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Deltex Medical Group help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Deltex Medical Group generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Deltex Medical Group has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Deltex Medical Group has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Deltex Medical Group has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 1.78 M. Net Loss for the year was (1.26 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.11 M. | |
| Deltex Medical generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 82.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Deltex Medical to delist from AIM on February 21 - Investing.com |
Additional Tools for Deltex Stock Analysis
When running Deltex Medical's price analysis, check to measure Deltex Medical's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Deltex Medical is operating at the current time. Most of Deltex Medical's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Deltex Medical's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Deltex Medical's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Deltex Medical to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.