BerolinaCapital Premium (Germany) Probability of Future Fund Price Finishing Under 92.29
| DEDL Fund | EUR 91.19 0.45 0.50% |
BerolinaCapital |
BerolinaCapital Premium Target Price Odds to finish below 92.29
The tendency of BerolinaCapital Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under € 92.29 after 90 days |
| 91.19 | 90 days | 92.29 | about 17.25 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of BerolinaCapital Premium to stay under € 92.29 after 90 days from now is about 17.25 (This BerolinaCapital Premium probability density function shows the probability of BerolinaCapital Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of BerolinaCapital Premium price to stay between its current price of € 91.19 and € 92.29 at the end of the 90-day period is about 11.07 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon BerolinaCapital Premium has a beta of 0.25 suggesting as returns on the market go up, BerolinaCapital Premium average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding BerolinaCapital Premium will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally BerolinaCapital Premium has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. BerolinaCapital Premium Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for BerolinaCapital Premium
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as BerolinaCapital Premium. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.BerolinaCapital Premium Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. BerolinaCapital Premium is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the BerolinaCapital Premium's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold BerolinaCapital Premium, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of BerolinaCapital Premium within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.04 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.25 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.89 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.02 |
BerolinaCapital Premium Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of BerolinaCapital Premium for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for BerolinaCapital Premium can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| BerolinaCapital Premium generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
BerolinaCapital Premium Technical Analysis
BerolinaCapital Premium's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. BerolinaCapital Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of BerolinaCapital Premium. In general, you should focus on analyzing BerolinaCapital Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
BerolinaCapital Premium Predictive Forecast Models
BerolinaCapital Premium's time-series forecasting models is one of many BerolinaCapital Premium's fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary BerolinaCapital Premium's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about BerolinaCapital Premium
Checking the ongoing alerts about BerolinaCapital Premium for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for BerolinaCapital Premium help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| BerolinaCapital Premium generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
Other Information on Investing in BerolinaCapital Fund
BerolinaCapital Premium financial ratios help investors to determine whether BerolinaCapital Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in BerolinaCapital with respect to the benefits of owning BerolinaCapital Premium security.
| Performance Analysis Check effects of mean-variance optimization against your current asset allocation | |
| Analyst Advice Analyst recommendations and target price estimates broken down by several categories | |
| Alpha Finder Use alpha and beta coefficients to find investment opportunities after accounting for the risk |