Eerly Govt Ppty Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 12.49

DEA Stock  USD 11.89  0.12  1.00%   
Eerly Govt's implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on Eerly Govt Ppty. Implied volatility approximates the future value of Eerly Govt based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in Eerly Govt Ppty over a specific time period. For example, DEA Option Call 20-12-2024 12 is a CALL option contract on Eerly Govt's common stock with a strick price of 12.5 expiring on 2024-12-20. The contract was last traded on 2024-12-04 at 10:20:15 for $0.1 and, as of today, has 16 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $0.05, and an ask price of $0.15. The implied volatility as of the 4th of December is 16.0. View All Eerly options

Closest to current price Eerly long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

Eerly Govt's future price is the expected price of Eerly Govt instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Eerly Govt Ppty performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Eerly Govt Backtesting, Eerly Govt Valuation, Eerly Govt Correlation, Eerly Govt Hype Analysis, Eerly Govt Volatility, Eerly Govt History as well as Eerly Govt Performance.
  
At present, Eerly Govt's Price Earnings Ratio is projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Price Book Value Ratio is expected to grow to 1.01, whereas Price To Sales Ratio is forecasted to decline to 4.19. Please specify Eerly Govt's target price for which you would like Eerly Govt odds to be computed.

Eerly Govt Target Price Odds to finish over 12.49

The tendency of Eerly Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 12.49  or more in 90 days
 11.89 90 days 12.49 
about 88.1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Eerly Govt to move over $ 12.49  or more in 90 days from now is about 88.1 (This Eerly Govt Ppty probability density function shows the probability of Eerly Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Eerly Govt Ppty price to stay between its current price of $ 11.89  and $ 12.49  at the end of the 90-day period is about 11.03 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Eerly Govt has a beta of 0.55 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Eerly Govt average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Eerly Govt Ppty will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Eerly Govt Ppty has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Eerly Govt Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Eerly Govt

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Eerly Govt Ppty. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Eerly Govt's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
10.7412.0013.26
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
11.8913.1414.41
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
11.3312.5913.85
Details
6 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
12.5113.7515.26
Details

Eerly Govt Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Eerly Govt is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Eerly Govt's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Eerly Govt Ppty, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Eerly Govt within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.16
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.55
σ
Overall volatility
0.50
Ir
Information ratio -0.16

Eerly Govt Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Eerly Govt for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Eerly Govt Ppty can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Eerly Govt Ppty generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Eerly Govt Ppty has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Over 77.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
On 27th of November 2024 Eerly Govt paid $ 0.265 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Easterly Government Properties Acquires Three Building Campus Leased to AAA Rated Wake County ...

Eerly Govt Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Eerly Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Eerly Govt's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Eerly Govt's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding94.6 M
Cash And Short Term Investments9.4 M

Eerly Govt Technical Analysis

Eerly Govt's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Eerly Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Eerly Govt Ppty. In general, you should focus on analyzing Eerly Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Eerly Govt Predictive Forecast Models

Eerly Govt's time-series forecasting models is one of many Eerly Govt's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Eerly Govt's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Eerly Govt Ppty

Checking the ongoing alerts about Eerly Govt for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Eerly Govt Ppty help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Eerly Govt Ppty generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Eerly Govt Ppty has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Over 77.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
On 27th of November 2024 Eerly Govt paid $ 0.265 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Easterly Government Properties Acquires Three Building Campus Leased to AAA Rated Wake County ...
When determining whether Eerly Govt Ppty offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Eerly Govt's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Eerly Govt Ppty Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Eerly Govt Ppty Stock:
Is Diversified REITs space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Eerly Govt. If investors know Eerly will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Eerly Govt listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.18)
Dividend Share
1.06
Earnings Share
0.17
Revenue Per Share
2.969
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.041
The market value of Eerly Govt Ppty is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Eerly that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Eerly Govt's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Eerly Govt's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Eerly Govt's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Eerly Govt's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Eerly Govt's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Eerly Govt is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Eerly Govt's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.