Delaware Wealth Builder Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 15.49

DDERX Fund   14.67  0.12  0.81%   
Delaware Wealth's future price is the expected price of Delaware Wealth instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Delaware Wealth Builder performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Delaware Wealth Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Delaware Wealth Correlation, Delaware Wealth Hype Analysis, Delaware Wealth Volatility, Delaware Wealth History as well as Delaware Wealth Performance.
  
Please specify Delaware Wealth's target price for which you would like Delaware Wealth odds to be computed.

Delaware Wealth Target Price Odds to finish over 15.49

The tendency of Delaware Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over  15.49  or more in 90 days
 14.67 90 days 15.49 
about 71.4
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Delaware Wealth to move over  15.49  or more in 90 days from now is about 71.4 (This Delaware Wealth Builder probability density function shows the probability of Delaware Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Delaware Wealth Builder price to stay between its current price of  14.67  and  15.49  at the end of the 90-day period is about 28.58 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Delaware Wealth has a beta of 0.14 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Delaware Wealth average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Delaware Wealth Builder will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Delaware Wealth Builder has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Delaware Wealth Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Delaware Wealth

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Delaware Wealth Builder. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
13.9914.6715.35
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
14.1414.8215.50
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
13.3914.0714.74
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
14.5715.5316.48
Details

Delaware Wealth Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Delaware Wealth is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Delaware Wealth's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Delaware Wealth Builder, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Delaware Wealth within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.09
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.14
σ
Overall volatility
0.23
Ir
Information ratio -0.16

Delaware Wealth Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Delaware Wealth for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Delaware Wealth Builder can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Delaware Wealth generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The fund retains all of the assets under management (AUM) in different types of exotic instruments

Delaware Wealth Technical Analysis

Delaware Wealth's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Delaware Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Delaware Wealth Builder. In general, you should focus on analyzing Delaware Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Delaware Wealth Predictive Forecast Models

Delaware Wealth's time-series forecasting models is one of many Delaware Wealth's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Delaware Wealth's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Delaware Wealth Builder

Checking the ongoing alerts about Delaware Wealth for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Delaware Wealth Builder help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Delaware Wealth generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The fund retains all of the assets under management (AUM) in different types of exotic instruments

Other Information on Investing in Delaware Mutual Fund

Delaware Wealth financial ratios help investors to determine whether Delaware Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Delaware with respect to the benefits of owning Delaware Wealth security.
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