Dunham Small Cap Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 11.23

DCDGX Fund  USD 12.70  0.12  0.95%   
Dunham Small's future price is the expected price of Dunham Small instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Dunham Small Cap performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Dunham Small Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Dunham Small Correlation, Dunham Small Hype Analysis, Dunham Small Volatility, Dunham Small History as well as Dunham Small Performance.
  
Please specify Dunham Small's target price for which you would like Dunham Small odds to be computed.

Dunham Small Target Price Odds to finish below 11.23

The tendency of Dunham Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 11.23  or more in 90 days
 12.70 90 days 11.23 
about 16.21
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Dunham Small to drop to $ 11.23  or more in 90 days from now is about 16.21 (This Dunham Small Cap probability density function shows the probability of Dunham Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Dunham Small Cap price to stay between $ 11.23  and its current price of $12.7 at the end of the 90-day period is about 82.03 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon the mutual fund has the beta coefficient of 1.34 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Dunham Small will likely underperform. Additionally Dunham Small Cap has an alpha of 0.0017, implying that it can generate a 0.001704 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Dunham Small Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Dunham Small

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Dunham Small Cap. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
11.5612.7013.84
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
11.3312.4713.61
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
11.7312.8714.01
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
12.0312.3912.75
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Dunham Small. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Dunham Small's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Dunham Small's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Dunham Small Cap.

Dunham Small Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Dunham Small is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Dunham Small's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Dunham Small Cap, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Dunham Small within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.34
σ
Overall volatility
0.47
Ir
Information ratio 0.03

Dunham Small Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Dunham Small for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Dunham Small Cap can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund generated three year return of -1.0%
Dunham Small Cap retains 97.12% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities

Dunham Small Technical Analysis

Dunham Small's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Dunham Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Dunham Small Cap. In general, you should focus on analyzing Dunham Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Dunham Small Predictive Forecast Models

Dunham Small's time-series forecasting models is one of many Dunham Small's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Dunham Small's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Dunham Small Cap

Checking the ongoing alerts about Dunham Small for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Dunham Small Cap help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund generated three year return of -1.0%
Dunham Small Cap retains 97.12% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities

Other Information on Investing in Dunham Mutual Fund

Dunham Small financial ratios help investors to determine whether Dunham Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Dunham with respect to the benefits of owning Dunham Small security.
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