DIC Holdings (Vietnam) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 13375.66

DC4 Stock   15,150  150.00  0.98%   
DIC Holdings' future price is the expected price of DIC Holdings instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of DIC Holdings Construction performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out DIC Holdings Backtesting, DIC Holdings Valuation, DIC Holdings Correlation, DIC Holdings Hype Analysis, DIC Holdings Volatility, DIC Holdings History as well as DIC Holdings Performance.
  
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DIC Holdings Target Price Odds to finish over 13375.66

The tendency of DIC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above  13,376  in 90 days
 15,150 90 days 13,376 
about 5.24
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of DIC Holdings to stay above  13,376  in 90 days from now is about 5.24 (This DIC Holdings Construction probability density function shows the probability of DIC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of DIC Holdings Construction price to stay between  13,376  and its current price of 15150.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 5.18 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon DIC Holdings Construction has a beta of -0.23 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding DIC Holdings are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, DIC Holdings Construction is likely to outperform the market. Additionally DIC Holdings Construction has an alpha of 0.456, implying that it can generate a 0.46 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   DIC Holdings Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for DIC Holdings

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as DIC Holdings Construction. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
15,14815,15015,152
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
13,63516,59416,596
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
15,92115,92415,926
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
10,66312,90415,145
Details

DIC Holdings Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. DIC Holdings is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the DIC Holdings' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold DIC Holdings Construction, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of DIC Holdings within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.46
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.23
σ
Overall volatility
1,109
Ir
Information ratio 0.12

DIC Holdings Technical Analysis

DIC Holdings' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. DIC Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of DIC Holdings Construction. In general, you should focus on analyzing DIC Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

DIC Holdings Predictive Forecast Models

DIC Holdings' time-series forecasting models is one of many DIC Holdings' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary DIC Holdings' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards DIC Holdings in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, DIC Holdings' short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from DIC Holdings options trading.

Other Information on Investing in DIC Stock

DIC Holdings financial ratios help investors to determine whether DIC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in DIC with respect to the benefits of owning DIC Holdings security.