Doubleline Floating Rate Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 8.75

DBFRX Fund  USD 9.07  0.01  0.11%   
Doubleline Floating's future price is the expected price of Doubleline Floating instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Doubleline Floating Rate performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Doubleline Floating Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Doubleline Floating Correlation, Doubleline Floating Hype Analysis, Doubleline Floating Volatility, Doubleline Floating History as well as Doubleline Floating Performance.
  
Please specify Doubleline Floating's target price for which you would like Doubleline Floating odds to be computed.

Doubleline Floating Target Price Odds to finish below 8.75

The tendency of Doubleline Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 8.75  or more in 90 days
 9.07 90 days 8.75 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Doubleline Floating to drop to $ 8.75  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Doubleline Floating Rate probability density function shows the probability of Doubleline Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Doubleline Floating Rate price to stay between $ 8.75  and its current price of $9.07 at the end of the 90-day period is about 89.71 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Doubleline Floating has a beta of 0.0117 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Doubleline Floating average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Doubleline Floating Rate will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Doubleline Floating Rate has an alpha of 0.0144, implying that it can generate a 0.0144 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Doubleline Floating Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Doubleline Floating

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Doubleline Floating Rate. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
8.979.079.17
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
8.959.059.15
Details

Doubleline Floating Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Doubleline Floating is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Doubleline Floating's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Doubleline Floating Rate, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Doubleline Floating within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.01
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.01
σ
Overall volatility
0.05
Ir
Information ratio -0.6

Doubleline Floating Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Doubleline Floating for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Doubleline Floating Rate can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund retains about 11.57% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash

Doubleline Floating Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Doubleline Mutual Fund often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Doubleline Floating's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Doubleline Floating's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.

Doubleline Floating Technical Analysis

Doubleline Floating's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Doubleline Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Doubleline Floating Rate. In general, you should focus on analyzing Doubleline Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Doubleline Floating Predictive Forecast Models

Doubleline Floating's time-series forecasting models is one of many Doubleline Floating's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Doubleline Floating's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Doubleline Floating Rate

Checking the ongoing alerts about Doubleline Floating for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Doubleline Floating Rate help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund retains about 11.57% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash

Other Information on Investing in Doubleline Mutual Fund

Doubleline Floating financial ratios help investors to determine whether Doubleline Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Doubleline with respect to the benefits of owning Doubleline Floating security.
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