Deutsche Bank Ag Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 12.10
| DB Stock | USD 17.16 0.12 0.70% |
Deutsche |
Deutsche Bank Target Price Odds to finish below 12.10
The tendency of Deutsche Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 12.10 or more in 90 days |
| 17.16 | 90 days | 12.10 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Deutsche Bank to drop to $ 12.10 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Deutsche Bank AG probability density function shows the probability of Deutsche Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Deutsche Bank AG price to stay between $ 12.10 and its current price of $17.16 at the end of the 90-day period is about 47.09 .
Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon Deutsche Bank has a beta of 0.43 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Deutsche Bank average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Deutsche Bank AG will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Deutsche Bank AG has an alpha of 0.0031, implying that it can generate a 0.003051 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Deutsche Bank Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Deutsche Bank
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Deutsche Bank AG. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Deutsche Bank Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Deutsche Bank is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Deutsche Bank's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Deutsche Bank AG, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Deutsche Bank within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.43 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.42 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.0065 |
Deutsche Bank Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Deutsche Bank for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Deutsche Bank AG can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Deutsche Bank AG has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Latest headline from watcher.guru: Frances Groupe BPCE to Launch Bitcoin Investment Services |
Deutsche Bank Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Deutsche Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Deutsche Bank's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Deutsche Bank's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 2.1 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 213.4 B |
Deutsche Bank Technical Analysis
Deutsche Bank's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Deutsche Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Deutsche Bank AG. In general, you should focus on analyzing Deutsche Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Deutsche Bank Predictive Forecast Models
Deutsche Bank's time-series forecasting models is one of many Deutsche Bank's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Deutsche Bank's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Deutsche Bank AG
Checking the ongoing alerts about Deutsche Bank for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Deutsche Bank AG help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Deutsche Bank AG has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Latest headline from watcher.guru: Frances Groupe BPCE to Launch Bitcoin Investment Services |
Check out Deutsche Bank Backtesting, Deutsche Bank Valuation, Deutsche Bank Correlation, Deutsche Bank Hype Analysis, Deutsche Bank Volatility, Deutsche Bank History as well as Deutsche Bank Performance. You can also try the Investing Opportunities module to build portfolios using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your investing preferences.
Is Diversified Capital Markets space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Deutsche Bank. If investors know Deutsche will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Deutsche Bank listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.446 | Dividend Share 0.45 | Earnings Share 2.01 | Revenue Per Share 13.758 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.017 |
The market value of Deutsche Bank AG is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Deutsche that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Deutsche Bank's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Deutsche Bank's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Deutsche Bank's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Deutsche Bank's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Deutsche Bank's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Deutsche Bank is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Deutsche Bank's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.